© 2008

Modelling Regional Scenarios for the Enlarged Europe

European Competiveness and Global Strategies


Part of the Advances in Spatial Science book series (ADVSPATIAL)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xvi
  2. From Forecasts to Quantitative Foresights: Territorial Scenarios for an Enlarged Europe

  3. Theoretical and Empirical Underpinnings

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 11-11
    2. Roberta Capello, Ugo Fratesi
      Pages 49-67
    3. Barbara Chizzolini
      Pages 69-82
  4. Conceptual and Methodological Specifications

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 83-83
    2. Roberta Capello, Barbara Chizzolini
      Pages 99-121
  5. Scenarios for the Enlarged Europe: Regional Quantitative Foresights

  6. Back Matter
    Pages 307-321

About this book


The aim of this book is to tackle the question of what the European territory will look like over the next fifteen years by providing quali-quantitative territorial scenarios for the enlarged Europe, under different assumptions on future globalisation strategies of BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and East and West European countries. The approach is as neutral as possible vis-à-vis the results, leaving to a new forecasting model, the MASST model, built by the authors, to produce the tendencies and behavioural paths of regional GDP and population growth in each individual European region under alternative assumptions on the competitiveness strategies of different blocks of countries. The results are accompanied by strong policy messages intended to encourage long-term strategic thinking among a wide range of actors, scientists and policy makers in response to the risks and opportunities that the European territory will face.


BRIC Brazil China Econometric Growth Models Forecasts Methodologies Globalisation Regional Disparities Regional Growth Russia growth

Authors and affiliations

  1. 1.Department of ManagementPolitecnico di MilanoMilanoItaly
  2. 2.Department of ManagementPolitecnico di MilanoMilanoItaly

Bibliographic information

Industry Sectors
Finance, Business & Banking


From the reviews:

"The book deals with ‘the question of what European territory will look like over the next fifteen years’ … . the reader is invited to examine the content of 11 chapters and numerous figures, maps, and tables, including 30 colored maps. … In sum, the book presents an excellent opportunity to learn about the views of a group of European intellectuals on regional growth, policies … . beneficial for anyone studying economic institutions in Europe, or concerned with analyzing and predicting mutually contradicting EU policies." (Oleg A. Smirnov, Journal of Regional Science, Vol. 49 (3), 2009)