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Charting the Next Pandemic

Modeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science Age

  • Ana Pastore y Piontti
  • Nicola Perra
  • Luca Rossi
  • Nicole Samay
  • Alessandro Vespignani

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XVI
  2. HOW TO MODEL PANDEMICS

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 1-2
    2. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 3-10
    3. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 11-28
    4. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 29-44
    5. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 45-54
    6. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 55-65
  3. PANDEMIC CHARTS

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 67-196
    2. Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani
      Pages 197-200
  4. Back Matter
    Pages 201-209

About this book

Introduction

This book provides an introduction to the computational and complex systems modeling of the global spreading of infectious diseases. The latest developments in the area of contagion processes modeling are discussed, and readers are exposed to real world examples of data-model integration impacting the decision-making process. Recent advances in computational science and the increasing availability of real-world data are making it possible to develop realistic scenarios and real-time forecasts of the global spreading of emerging health threats.

The first part of the book guides the reader through sophisticated complex systems modeling techniques with a non-technical and visual approach, explaining and illustrating the construction of the modern framework used to project the spread of pandemics and epidemics. Models can be used to transform data to knowledge that is intuitively communicated by powerful infographics and for this reason, the second part of the book focuses on a set of charts that illustrate possible scenarios of future pandemics. The visual atlas contained allows the reader to identify commonalities and patterns in emerging health threats, as well as explore the wide range of models and data that can be used by policy makers to anticipate trends, evaluate risks and eventually manage future events.

Charting the Next Pandemic
 puts the reader in the position to explore different pandemic scenarios and to understand the potential impact of available containment and prevention strategies. This book emphasizes the importance of a global perspective in the assessment of emerging health threats and captures the possible evolution of the next pandemic, while at the same time providing the intelligence needed to fight it. The text will appeal to a wide range of audiences with diverse technical backgrounds.

Keywords

data science computational epidemiology epidemic spreading data driven modeling complex systems epidemic data modeling modeling disease transmission containment and mitigation scenarios

Authors and affiliations

  • Ana Pastore y Piontti
    • 1
  • Nicola Perra
    • 2
  • Luca Rossi
    • 3
  • Nicole Samay
    • 4
  • Alessandro Vespignani
    • 5
  1. 1.Northeastern UniversityBostonUSA
  2. 2.University of GreenwichLondonUK
  3. 3.Institute for Scientific InterchangeTorinoItaly
  4. 4.Northeastern UniversityBostonUSA
  5. 5.Northeastern UniversityBostonUSA

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-93290-3
  • Copyright Information Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2019
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Social Sciences
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-93289-7
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-93290-3
  • Buy this book on publisher's site
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