© 2018

Trajectory Analysis in Health Care


  • Describes a novel approach to health epidemiology

  • Presents applications to longitudinal analyses of health conditions and behaviors

  • Presents applications of nonlinear approaches to data analysis

  • Presents applications of physics and mathematics to health problems


Table of contents

About this book


This innovative volume introduces Trajectory Analysis, a new systems-based approach to measuring nonlinear dynamics in continuous change, to public health and epidemiology. It synthesizes influential strands of statistical and probability science (including chaos theory and catastrophe theory) to complement existing methods and models used in the health fields. The computational framework featured here pinpoints complex cause-and-effect processes in behavioral change as individuals and populations adjust to health interventions, with examples from neuroscience and cardiology. But this is no mere academic exercise, as the author illustrates how these methods can be harnessed toward finding real-world answers to longstanding public health problems, starting with treatment recidivism.

 Included in the coverage:

·         The universality of physical principles in the analysis of health and disease

·         The problem of recidivism in healthcare intervention studies

·         Stability and reversibility/irreversibility of health conditions

·         Chaos theory and sensitive dependence on initial conditions

·         Applications in health monitoring and geographic systems

·         Simulations, applications, and the challenge for public health

 A stimulating new take on statistics with powerful implications for future study, practice, and policy, Trajectory Analysis in Health Care should interest public health epidemiologists, researchers, clinicians, and policymakers. 


nonlinear dynamics healthcare decision making health outcomes public health research public health policy research methodology health behaviors public health data trajectory analysis health care intervention studies health trajectories phase resetting in health behaviors Lyapunov exponents Jacobian matrices Poincare return maps GIS raster data analysis longitudinal health data analysis hierarchical linear and nonlinear models cause and effect in epidemiology chaos theory in health

Authors and affiliations

  1. 1.Health AdministrationPfeiffer UniversityMorrisvilleUSA

About the authors

David Hollar, PhD Education, MS Molecular Biology, Postdoc Community Health Disability and Employment, Associate Professor of Health Administration at Pfeiffer University, North Carolina (Current) and of Children with Genetic/Metabolic Conditions at the University of Tennessee (Past).

Bibliographic information

Industry Sectors
Health & Hospitals
Public Health


“The book highlights a number of methodologies to quantify trajectories in other disciplines, primarily physics, and how such techniques may apply to problems in healthcare. … The book is … best suited for experienced healthcare investigators wishing to draw interdisciplinary inspiration. … The book summarizes a number of healthcare problems and quantitative methods to approach them. Techniques covered range from causal statistical models to principles of mechanics.” (Aaron C. Miller, Doody's Book Reviews, April, 2018)