© 2020

Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa

An Integrated View

  • Willem H. Boshoff

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-x
  2. W. H. Boshoff
    Pages 1-6
  3. Looking Back

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 7-7
    2. W. H. Boshoff, S. A. du Plessis
      Pages 9-48
    3. W. H. Boshoff, J. Fourie
      Pages 49-70
  4. The Financial Crisis and Its ImpactontheCycle

  5. Key Drivers of the South AfricanBusinessCycle

  6. Predicting the South African BusinessCycle

About this book


This book investigates the South African business cycle and its links to structural change in the economy. Against the backdrop of the democratic transition in 1994 and the global financial crisis, the authors study how business cycles in South Africa have changed and how cycles are related to key developments in the financial markets, international trade and business sentiment in the country. By focusing on peaks and troughs in economic activity – so-called ‘turning-point cycles’ – the book links up with the common approach of international policymakers to studying fluctuations in economic activity. The authors also introduce new approaches to measuring phases of the business cycle (to understand slow recoveries after the global crisis), provide comprehensive descriptions to complement quantitative analyses, and utilize new data sources that allow the measurement of economic activity over longer periods. As such, the book provides the first integrated overview of business cycles in an emerging market, providing academics and policymakers with a better understanding of the measurement challenges and drivers of the cycle. 


South Africa Business cycle Turning point cycle Deviation cycle Trend-cycle decomposition Structural change Financial cycle Financial crisis Co-movement Business Sentiment

Editors and affiliations

  • Willem H. Boshoff
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of EconomicsStellenbosch UniversityStellenboschSouth Africa

About the editors

Willem Boshoff is an economist at Stellenbosch University, South Africa, where he is an Associate Professor of Economics and the Director of the Centre for Competition Law and Economics. He teaches macroeconomics, time-series analysis and industrial organization. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stellenbosch University and has published on South African business and financial cycles, cycles in collusion, and statistical applications to competition policy problems. Prof. Boshoff is editor of the Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics and is a National Research Foundation ‘rated’ researcher.

Bibliographic information