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Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis

Seeds of the Future

  • Theodore J. Gordon
  • Mariana Todorova
Book

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xii
  2. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 1-9
  3. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 11-31
  4. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 33-50
  5. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 51-59
  6. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 61-68
  7. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 69-81
  8. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 83-89
  9. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 91-106
  10. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 107-117
  11. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 119-126
  12. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 127-140
  13. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 141-151
  14. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 153-159
  15. Theodore J. Gordon, Mariana Todorova
    Pages 161-167
  16. Back Matter
    Pages 169-194

About this book

Introduction

In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists.

Keywords

Future Studies Forecasting Counterfactual Analysis Black Swans Nuclear Proliferation Bioterrorism Artificial Intelligence Competitive Intelligence Alternative Futures Comparative Analysis Critical Foresight Modeling/Simulation Artifacts of the Future

Authors and affiliations

  • Theodore J. Gordon
    • 1
  • Mariana Todorova
    • 2
  1. 1.Millennium ProjectOld LymeUSA
  2. 2.Bulgarian Academy of SciencesSofiaBulgaria

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7
  • Copyright Information The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019
  • Publisher Name Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
  • eBook Packages Social Sciences
  • Print ISBN 978-3-030-18436-0
  • Online ISBN 978-3-030-18437-7
  • Buy this book on publisher's site
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