Simulating Societal Change

Counterfactual Modelling for Social and Policy Inquiry

  • Peter Davis
  • Roy Lay-Yee

Part of the Computational Social Sciences book series (CSS)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-ix
  2. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 1-9
  3. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 11-20
  4. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 21-31
  5. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 33-40
  6. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 41-66
  7. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 67-80
  8. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 81-95
  9. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 113-127
  10. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 129-151
  11. Peter Davis, Roy Lay-Yee
    Pages 153-165
  12. Back Matter
    Pages 167-245

About this book


This book presents a method for creating a working model of society, using data systems and simulation techniques, that can be used for testing propositions of scientific and policy nature. The model is based on the example of New Zealand, but will be applicable to other countries. It is expected that collaborators in other countries can emulate this example with their data systems for teaching and policy purposes, producing a cross-national "collaboratory". This enterprise will evolve with, and to a degree independently of, the book itself, with a supporting website as well as teaching and scientific initiatives. Readers of this text will, for the first time, have a simulation-based working model of society that can be interrogated for policy and substantive purposes. This book will appeal to researchers and professionals from various disciplines working within the social sciences, particularly on matters of demography and public policy.


modeling society simulating society public policy simulation modeling public policy modeling public health policies

Authors and affiliations

  • Peter Davis
    • 1
  • Roy Lay-Yee
    • 2
  1. 1.Department of StatisticsUniversity of AucklandAucklandNew Zealand
  2. 2.COMPASS (Centre of Methods and Policy Application in the Social Sciences) Research CentreUniversity of AucklandAucklandNew Zealand

Bibliographic information

  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Social Sciences
  • Print ISBN 978-3-030-04785-6
  • Online ISBN 978-3-030-04786-3
  • Series Print ISSN 2509-9574
  • Series Online ISSN 2509-9582
  • Buy this book on publisher's site