© 2015

Conflict and Complexity

Countering Terrorism, Insurgency, Ethnic and Regional Violence

  • Philip Vos Fellman
  • Yaneer Bar-Yam
  • Ali A. Minai
  • Utilizes complexity science to examine terrorism, specifically terrorist networks

  • New models are presented in this book including Dynamic Network Analysis and emergent models of insurgency

  • Authors have served within the U.S. Department of Defence, the British Ministry of Defence and other counter-terrorism organizations


Part of the Understanding Complex Systems book series (UCS)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-x
  2. The Theoretical Background

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 1-1
    2. Philip Vos Fellman
      Pages 3-34
    3. Czeslaw Mesjasz
      Pages 35-71
    4. Elena Mastors
      Pages 73-87
    5. Dean S. Hartley III
      Pages 111-136
  3. Applications and Case Studies

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 147-147
    2. Maurice Passman
      Pages 149-164
    3. Philip Vos Fellman, Jonathan P. Clemens, Roxana Wright, Jonathan Vos Post, Matthew Dadmun
      Pages 165-178
    4. Philip Vos Fellman, Dinorah Frutos, Thanarerk “Nathan” Thanakijsombat, Pard Teekasap, Britten Schear
      Pages 199-220
    5. Stuart Jacobs, Lou Chitkushev, Tanya Zlateva
      Pages 221-232
  4. Broader Horizons

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 233-233
    2. Alex Rutherford, May Lim, Richard Metzler, Dion Harmon, Justin Werfel, Shlomiya Bar-Yam et al.
      Pages 235-248
    3. Yavni Bar-Yam, Marco Lagi, Yaneer Bar-Yam
      Pages 261-267
    4. Andreas Gros, Alexander S. Gard-Murray, Yaneer Bar-Yam
      Pages 269-280
    5. Alexander S. Gard-Murray, Yaneer Bar-Yam
      Pages 281-292

About this book


Complexity science affords a number of novel tools for examining terrorism, particularly network analysis and NK-Boolean fitness landscapes as well as other tools drawn from non-linear dynamical systems modeling. This book follows the methodologies of complex adaptive systems research in their application to addressing the problems of terrorism, specifically terrorist networks, their structure and various methods of mapping and interdicting them as well as exploring the complex landscape of network-centric and irregular warfare. A variety of new models and approaches are presented here, including Dynamic Network Analysis, DIME/PMESII models, percolation models and emergent models of insurgency. In addition, the analysis is informed by practical experience, with analytical and policy guidance from authors who have served within the U.S. Department of Defense, the British Ministry of Defence as well as those who have served in a civilian capacity as advisors on terrorism and counter-terrorism.


DIME/PMESII models complexity insurgency dynamic network analysis emergent models of insurgency necsi complexity necsi terrorism nonlinear dynamical systems modeling terrorism percolation models terrorism complexity terrorist network complexity

Editors and affiliations

  • Philip Vos Fellman
    • 1
  • Yaneer Bar-Yam
    • 2
  • Ali A. Minai
    • 3
  1. 1.American Military UniversityCharles TownUSA
  2. 2.New England Complex Systems InstituteCambridgeUSA
  3. 3.University of CincinnatiCincinnatiUSA

Bibliographic information