Modelling Land-Use Change

Progress and Applications

  • Eric Koomen
  • John Stillwell
  • Aldrik Bakema
  • Henk J. Scholten

Part of the The GeoJournal Library book series (GEJL, volume 90)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XI
  2. Modelling land-use change

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 1-1
    2. E. Koomen, J. Stillwell
      Pages 1-22
  3. Analysis of land-use trends and their driving forces

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 1-1
    2. L.J.M. Jansen, G. Carrai, M. Petri
      Pages 25-44
    3. M. Sonis, M. Shoshany, N. Goldshlager
      Pages 61-82
  4. Explanatory models of land-use change

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 96-96
    2. J. Peña, A. Bonet, J. Bellot, J.R. Sánchez, D. Eisenhuth, S. Hallett et al.
      Pages 97-116
    3. N. Dendoncker, P. Bogaert, M. Rounsevell
      Pages 117-132
    4. J. Gonçalves, T. Dentinho
      Pages 133-145
  5. Optimisation modelling

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 146-146
    2. W. Loonen, P. Heuberger, M. Kuijpers-Linde
      Pages 147-165
    3. J. Seixas, J.P. Nunes, P. Lourenço, J. Corte-Real
      Pages 181-197
  6. Incorporation of new modelling approaches

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 198-198
    2. D. Felsenstein, E. Ashbel, A. Ben-Nun
      Pages 199-218
    3. W. Loibl, T. Tötzer, M. Köstl, K. Steinnocher
      Pages 219-236
    4. D. Ettema, K. de Jong, H. Timmermans, A. Bakema
      Pages 237-258
    5. K. Piyathamrongchai, M. Batty
      Pages 259-279
  7. Operational land-use simulation models

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 280-280
    2. J. Borsboom-van Beurden, A. Bakema, H. Tijbosch
      Pages 281-296
    3. G. Engelen, C. Lavalle, J.I. Barredo, M. van der Meulen, R. White
      Pages 297-320
  8. Land-use simulation for policy analysis

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 338-338
    2. D. Haase, A. Holzkämper, R. Seppelt
      Pages 339-354
    3. J. Dekkers, E. Koomen
      Pages 355-374
    4. P. Sheridan, J.O. Schroers, E. Rommelfanger
      Pages 375-390
  9. Back Matter
    Pages 391-396

About this book


The use of land changes over time as both natural and man-made environments are influenced by the pressures associated with the processes of development. The demand for land for new residential housing has been a huge challenge for governments striving to protect greenfield sites across Europe in recent years, whilst regeneration has been a common response to the decline of manufacturing in the old industrial heartlands. The variety of forces that drive change in the use of land are extensive and complex, including spatial planning policies designed at local, regional, national and supra-national levels.

In order to understand the mechanisms of change and the impact of policies, the formulation, calibration and testing of models is required. Land-use change models help us to understand the complexities and interdependencies of the components that constitute spatial systems and can provide valuable insights into possible land-use configurations in the future. Models of land-use change incorporate a vast amount of knowledge from a wide range of disciplines. Geography contributes to the understanding of land-use change whilst demography and economics help explain underlying trends. Model building relies heavily on mathematics and (geographical) information systems, but also includes many elements from the softer sciences, such as management studies and environmental science. This book offers a cross-sectional overview of current research progress that allows the construction of successful land-use models. The contributions range from methodology and calibration to actual applications in studies of recent policy implementation and evaluation. The contributors originate from academic and applied research institutes around the world and thus offer an interesting mix of theory and practice in different case study contexts.

This volume is an indispensable guide for anyone interested in the state-of-the-art of land-use modelling, its background and its application.

In summary, land-use change simulation modelling is a relatively new and dynamic field of study and this book provides a full overview of the topic, a wide range of applications (both geographically and thematically), a mix of theory and practice, a synthesis of recent research progress, and educational material for students and teachers.


Geoinformationssysteme PC9054 Simulation development ecosystem land-use change/ land-cover change model modelling optimisation spatial planning

Editors and affiliations

  • Eric Koomen
    • 1
  • John Stillwell
    • 2
  • Aldrik Bakema
    • 3
  • Henk J. Scholten
    • 4
  1. 1.Department of Spatial Economics/SPINlabVrije Universiteit AmsterdamThe Netherlands
  2. 2.School of GeographyUniversity of LeedsUnited Kingdom
  3. 3.Netherlands Environmental Assessment AgencyBilthovenThe Netherlands
  4. 4.Department of Spatial Economics/SPINlabVrije Universiteit AmsterdamThe Netherlands

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