Statistical Methods in Counterterrorism

Game Theory, Modeling, Syndromic Surveillance, and Biometric Authentication

  • Alyson G. Wilson
  • Gregory D. Wilson
  • David H. Olwell

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XII
  2. Game Theory

  3. Biometric Authentication

  4. Syndromic Surveillance

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 99-99
    2. Michael A. Stoto, Ronald D. Fricker Jr., Arvind Jain, Alexis Diamond, John O. Davies-Cole, Chevelle Glymph et al.
      Pages 141-172
    3. Laura Forsberg, Caroline Jeffery, Al Ozonoff, Marcello Pagano
      Pages 173-191
  5. Modeling

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 193-193
    2. Sarah Michalak, Gregory Wilson
      Pages 199-213
    3. William K. Sieber, James S. Bennett, Abera Wouhib, Joe Fred Gonzalez Jr, Myron J. Katzoff, Stanley A. Shulman
      Pages 215-235
    4. Alan F. Karr, Xiaodong Lin, Ashish P. Sanil, Jerome P. Reiter
      Pages 237-261
  6. Back Matter
    Pages 281-292

About this book


All the data was out there to warn us of this impending attack, why didn't we see it?" This was a frequently asked question in the weeks and months after the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on September 11, 2001. In the wake of the attacks, statisticians moved quickly to become part of the national response to the global war on terror. This book is an overview of the emerging research program at the intersection of national security and statistical sciences. A wide range of talented researchers address issues in

. Syndromic Surveillance---How do we detect and recognize bioterrorist events?

. Modeling and Simulation---How do we better understand and explain complex processes so that decision makers can take the best course of action?

. Biometric Authentication---How do we pick the terrorist out of the crowd of faces or better match the passport to the traveler?

. Game Theory---How do we understand the rules that terrorists are playing by?

This book includes technical treatments of statistical issues that will be of use to quantitative researchers as well as more general examinations of quantitative approaches to counterterrorism that will be accessible to decision makers with stronger policy backgrounds.

Dr. Alyson G. Wilson is a statistician and the technical lead for DoD programs in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. Gregory D. Wilson is a rhetorician and ethnographer in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. David H. Olwell is chair of the Department of Systems Engineering at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California.


STATISTICA Simulation Terrorist algorithms biometrics cognition data analysis databases game theory linear optimization metrics modeling statistical analysis statistical method terrorism

Editors and affiliations

  • Alyson G. Wilson
    • 1
  • Gregory D. Wilson
    • 1
  • David H. Olwell
    • 2
  1. 1.Los Alamos National LaboratoryLos AlamosUSA
  2. 2.Department of Systems EngineeringNaval Postgraduate SchoolMontereyUSA

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