Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE C

, Volume 14, Issue 6, pp 464–474 | Cite as

A probabilistic model for assessing the reliability of wind farms in a power system

  • Mostafa Hosseinpour
  • Habib Rajabi Mashhadi
  • Mohammad Ebrahim Hajiabadi


Modeling the generation of a wind farm and its effect on power system reliability is a challenging task, largely due to the random behavior of the output power. In this paper, we propose a new probabilistic model for assessing the reliability of wind farms in a power system at hierarchical level II (HLII), using a Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed model shows the effect of correlation between wind and load on reliability calculation. It can also be used for identifying the priority of various points of the network for installing new wind farms, to promote the reliability of the whole system. A simple grid at hierarchical level I (HLI) and a network in the north-eastern region of Iran are studied. Simulation results showed that the correlation between wind and load significantly affects the reliability.

Key words

Wind farm Reliability Priority Probabilistic model 

CLC number



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Copyright information

© Journal of Zhejiang University Science Editorial Office and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mostafa Hosseinpour
    • 1
  • Habib Rajabi Mashhadi
    • 1
    • 2
  • Mohammad Ebrahim Hajiabadi
    • 1
  1. 1.Faculty of Engineering, Department of Electrical EngineeringFerdowsi University of MashhadMashhadIran
  2. 2.Center of Excellence on Soft Computing and Intelligent Information ProcessingFerdowsi University of MashhadMashhadIran

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