, Volume 38, Issue 4, pp 525–536 | Cite as

Life expectancies in specific health states: Results from a joint model of health status and mortality of older persons

  • France Portrait
  • Maarten Lindeboom
  • Dorly Deeg
Elderly Health Status And Mortality In Developed Countries


With the trend toward aging, increases in health care expenditures are expected. Insight into (future) needs for care services requires a taxonomy of older persons’ health conditions: how health status develops as people age and how these health conditions determine residual life expectancy. In this paper we provide this information for the Netherlands. We apply a flexible nonparametric method—he Grade of Membership method—to a national database and summarize the multidimensional concept of health status into a limited set of interpretable indices. We then use these indices in our panel data model for health status and mortality. The model results are used to calculate age-health profiles and expected residual lifetimes in specific health states.


Panel Data Model Residual Lifetime Pure Type Health Expectancy Mortality Probability 
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Copyright information

© Population Association of America 2001

Authors and Affiliations

  • France Portrait
    • 1
  • Maarten Lindeboom
    • 2
  • Dorly Deeg
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of EconomicsFree UniversityAmsterdamThe Netherlands
  2. 2.Department of EconomicsFree University and Tinbergen InstituteUSA
  3. 3.Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, Faculty of Medicine and Faculty of Social and Cultural SciencesFree UniversityUSA

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