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Bayesian capture-recapture analysis and model selection allowing for heterogeneity and behavioral effects

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Abstract

In this article, we present Bayesian analysis of capture-recapture models for a closed population which allows for heterogeneity of capture probabilities between animals and bait/trap effects. We use a flexible discrete mixture model to account for the heterogeneity and behavioral effects. In addition we present a solid model selection criterion. Through illustrations with a motivating dataset, we demonstrate how Bayesian analysis can be applied in this setting and discuss some major benefits which result, including consideration of informative priors based on historical data.

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Correspondence to Sujit K. Ghosh.

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Ghosh, S.K., Norris, J.L. Bayesian capture-recapture analysis and model selection allowing for heterogeneity and behavioral effects. JABES 10, 35–49 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1198/108571105X28651

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1198/108571105X28651

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