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Studies on Russian Economic Development

, Volume 18, Issue 2, pp 189–195 | Cite as

Modeling Russian exports and imports in a forecasting and analytical calculation system

  • S. S. Emel’ayanov
Foreign Economic Relations

Abstract

Information and statistical problems in building regression models of the dynamics of Russian exports and imports in 1990 to 2005 are discussed. Formalized adjustment for economic change takes the shape of a nonlinear association of independent and dependent variables. Model constructs are built for annual and monthly data with subsequent comparison of estimated parameters of regression equations.

Keywords

Exchange Rate Gross Domestic Product Foreign Trade RUSSIAN Economic Development Purchase Power Parity 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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References

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    Socioeconomic Status of Russia (Goskomstat Rossii, Moscow) [in Russian].Google Scholar
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    V. A. Gubanov and A. K. Koval’dzhi, “Isolating Seasonal Fluctuations on the Basis of Variations Principles,” Ekon. Mat. Metody 37(1) (2001).Google Scholar
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    G. S. Kil’dishev and A. A. Frenkel’, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (Statistika, Moscow, 1973) [in Russian].Google Scholar
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    S. S. Emel’yanov, “The Purchasing Power of the Russian Ruble: Macroeconomic Factors,” Probl. Prognozir. 12(2) (2001) [Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 12 (3) (2001)].Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  • S. S. Emel’ayanov

There are no affiliations available

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