Abstract
This paper considers an approach to loss evaluation in banks under various market crash scenarios, which is based on a classification of banks depending on the dominant industrial sector credited. The author formulates and solves the problem of optimal loan size for each industrial sector, as well as the probability minimization problem of a loan default in the case of a crisis in an industrial sector under the capital adequacy ratio norm constraint and a sufficient level of current assets. Next, the author suggests a model for evaluating possible losses due to stress situations in the banking sector and an algorithm for banks ranking based on the Snow vector method, with analysis of several typical examples. All approaches described in the paper appear novel for the Russian banking sector, as the problem of systemic risk evaluation has emerged lately in the context of recent changes in international regulations.
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Original Russian Text © A.A. Stezhkin, 2013, published in Upravlenie Bol’shimi Sistemami, 2013, No. 45, pp. 264–288.
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Stezhkin, A.A. Management of banking network stability taking into account industry-specific risks. Autom Remote Control 76, 353–367 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0005117915020149
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0005117915020149