Abstract
The main task of this work was to reveal possible regression relations between parameters of an individual cyclone, inside groups of tropical cyclones close in time, and between intraseasonal jumps of cyclonic intensity. When revealing the correlations sought, the corresponding computations were performed using different techniques. The computation experiments involved long-term meteorological data on tropical cyclones of the cyclonic northwestern Pacific zone. As a result of the studied performed, the regression relationships of the cyclonic activity stages of different evolution scales have been obtained.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Bondur, V.G. and Pulinets, S.A., Effect of mesoscale atmospheric vortex processes on the upper atmosphere and ionosphere of the Earth, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2012, vol. 48, no. 9, pp. 871–878.
Golitsyn, G.S., Statistics and energetics of tropical cyclones, Dokl. Earth Sci., 1997, vol. 354, no. 4, pp. 633–636.
Gray, W.M., Recent Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research from Rawinsonde Composite Analysis, WMO, 1981.
Gres’ko, P.D. and Gruza, G.V., Statistical analysis of the movement of tropical cyclones in the northwestern Pacific Ocean, Tr. Dal’nevost. Nauchno-Issled. Gidrometeorol. Inst., 1983, vol. 97, pp. 53–65.
Gres’ko, P.D. and Gruza, G.V., Nekotorye voprosy statisticheskogo analiza i prognoza peremeshcheniya tropicheskikh tsiklonov Atlanticheskogo okeana (Some Questions of Statistical Analysis and Forecast of the movement of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean), Moscow: Gidrometeoizdat, 1987.
Gres’ko, P.D., Gruza, G.V., and Ran’kova, E.Ya., On the current state and prospects for improving the schemes for statistical prediction of the movement of tropical cyclones, in Tr. 3-go Mezhdun. simp. po tropicheskoi meteorologii (Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Tropical Meteorology), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1987, pp. 265–276.
Gryanik, V.M., Theoretical models of the dynamics of localized quasi-geostrophic vortices in the atmosphere and ocean, in Issledovaniya vikhrevoi dinamiki i energetiki atmosfery i problemy klimata (Study of the Vortex Dynamics and Energetics of the Atmosphere and Problems of Climate), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1990, pp. 31–60.
Khain, A.P. and Sutyrin, G.G., Tropicheskie tsiklony i ikh vzaimodeistvie s okeanom (Tropical Cyclones and Their Interaction with the Ocean), Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1983.
Palmen, E. and Newton, C.W., Atmospheric Circulation Systems, New York: Academic, 1969; Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1973.
Pokrovskaya, I.V. and Sharkov, E.A., Global features of the generation rate of tropical cyclones, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2000, vol. 373, no. 5, pp. 851–854.
Sharkov, E.A., Remote studies of atmospheric catastrophes, Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 2010, no. 11, pp. 52–68.
Sharkov, E.A. and Pokrovskaya, I.V., Regional tropical cyclogeneses in the field of surface temperature of the World Ocean], Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 2010, no. 2, pp. 54–62.
Sitnikov, I.G. and Pokhil, A.E., Interaction of tropical cyclones with each other and with other baric formations (Part 1), Meteorol. Gidrol., 1998, no. 5, pp. 30–38.
Sitnikov, I.G. and Pokhil, A.E., Interaction of tropical cyclones with each other and with other baric formations (Part 2), Meteorol. Gidrol., 1999, no. 7, pp. 36–50.
Sitnikov, I.G., Fal’kovich, A.I., Pokhil, A.E., Zlenko, V.A., Numerical prediction of the trajectories of tropical cyclones of the Northern and Southern hemispheres in the Hydrometeorological Center of the USSR, Meteorol. Gidrol., 1990, no. 1, pp. 30–38.
Yaroshevich, M.I., Distances between simultaneously acting tropical cyclones and their intensities, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2000, vol. 371, no. 2, pp. 307–309.
Yaroshevich, M.I., Seasonal dynamics of total intensities of tropical cyclones, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2007, vol. 413, no. 3, pp. 428–431.
Yaroshevich, M.I., On some interrelations in the dynamics of tropical cyclonic activity, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2011, vol. 47, no. 4, pp. 503–516.
Yaroshevich, M.I., Tropical cyclone intensity as a function of wind-speed dynamics in the initial stage of cyclone life, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2014, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 221–224.
Yaroshevich, M.I., An energetic signature of mutual interaction in a group of tropical cyclones partially collocated in time, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2017, vol. 53, no. 5, pp. 505–507.
Yaroshevich, M.I. and Ingel’, L.H., Tropical cyclone: An element of the ocean–atmosphere system, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2004, vol. 399, no. 9, pp. 1245–1248.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Translated by A. Nikol’skii
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Yaroshevich, M.I. Hierarchy of Interrelationships in the Dynamics of Tropical Cyclones Activity. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 54, 1186–1193 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433818090438
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433818090438