Abstract
This paper presents the development of a model version of a software package for analyzing the dynamics of dangerous exogenous processes in view of the assessment of natural risks. The work was performed with thermokarst processes and subsidence processes affecting linear engineering structures as examples. Software package development was based on the use of mathematical landscape morphology approaches and the corresponding mathematical models of the morphological structure. Both the expansion of existing foci and the emergence of new foci during pipeline operation were considered in the software package as causes of damage to a linear engineering structure. Decisions on the probability of damage to the structure were based on the corresponding model. The materials of repeated remote surveys served as the input data for the software package, and the probability of damage to the engineering structure within a given time was calculated as a result.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Bondur, V.G., Gordo, K.A., and Kladov, V.L., Spacetime distributions of wildfire areas and emissions of carbon-containing gases and aerosols in Northern Eurasia according to satellite-monitoring data, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys., 2017, vol. 53, no. 9, pp. 859–874.
Elkin, V.A., Regional assessment of the karst hazard and risk (on the example of the Republic of Tatarstan), Extended Abstract of Cand. Sci. (Geol.-Mineral.) Dissertation, Moscow: Inst. Geoecology Russ. Acad. Sci., 2004.
Fell, R., Corominas, J., Bonnard, C., Cascini, L., Leroi, E., and Savage, W.Z., Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land use planning, Eng. Geol., 2008, vol. 102, nos. 3–4, pp. 85–98.
Matematicheskaya morfologiya landshaftov kriolitozony (Mathematic Morphology of Cryolithozone Landscapes), Viktorov, A.S., Kapralova, V.N., Orlov, T.V., Trapeznikova, O.N., Arhipova, M.V., Sadkov, S.A., Zverev, A.V., Panchenko, E.G., and Berezin, P.V., Eds., Moscow: RUDN, 2016.
Otsenka i upravlenie prirodnymi riskami. Materialy Vseros. konf. Risk-2003 (Natural Risk Assessment and Management. Proceedings of the All-Russian Conference Risk-2003), Moscow: RUDN, 2003a, vol. 1.
Otsenka i upravlenie prirodnymi riskami (Natural Risk Assessment and Management) Ragozin, A.L., Ed., Moscow: KRUK, 2003b.
Osipov, V.I., Natural hazards and strategic risks in the world and in Russia, Ekol. Zhizn’, 2009, vols. 11–12, nos. 96–97, pp. 5–15.
Ragozin, A.L., basic concepts of the theory of hazardous geological processes and risks, in Novie idei v naukah o Zemle (New Ideas in the Earth Sciences), Moscow, 1997, vol. 4, p. 115.
Sheko, A.I. and Krupoderov, V.S., Assessment of danger and risk of exogenic geological processes, Geoecologiya, 1994, no. 3, pp. 53–59.
Viktorov, A.S., Mathematical model of thermokarst lake plains as one of the bases of the interpretation of space images, Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 1995, no. 5, pp. 42–50.
Viktorov, A.S. and Kapralova, V.N., Quantitative assessment of natural risks from space imagery (case study of lake–thermokarst plains), Issled. Zemli Kosmosa, 2013, no. 4, pp. 33–39.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The work was carried out within the framework of the Russian Science Foundation grant no. 14-17-00357.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Translated by S. Semenova
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Viktorov, A.S., Berezin, P.V. & Kapralova, V.N. Development of a Software Package for Environmental Risk Assessment Based on Materials of Repeated Remote Surveys. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 54, 1320–1326 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433818090402
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433818090402