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Adolescents’ development of approval of violent political action: evidence from six waves of longitudinal data

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Abstract

The overarching aim of this study is to understand better the over time development adolescents approval of violent political action. Using up to six waves of longitudinal survey data for two cohorts of Swedish adolescents (N = 1987), this study examined: (1) the over time development of approval of violent political means. And, (2) in mediation models, the explanatory capacity of the brooder’s route and the delinquent’s route, two theoretical explanations put forth by the literature. The results show that approval of violent political means develops as a dynamic process. Whereas indicators of both the brooder’s and the delinquent’s route were both related to approval of violent political means, only delinquency mediated (partial mediation) the over time relation of the outcome. The findings were discussed in the light of what proximity of, on the one hand, ideology or religiosity implies, and on the other, what other kinds of violence than political implies for the development of adolescents’ approval of violent political means.

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Notes

  1. It would be relevant to use a moderated mediation here to examine the extent to which religiosity explains the development of violent political means differently depending on: (a) adolescents’ religious preferences, or (b) the background of adolescents (migrant background or not). However, as the low-frequency character of approval of violent political means prohibits from a reliable attempt at such analyses.

  2. To use a framework in which the same factor functions as the independent variable and the dependent variable is uncommon practice in mediation analyses. However, following the reasoning of Agler and De Boeck (2017, p. 2), such instances can be considered mediation “in the sense that all effects are transmitted by way of an intervening effect.”

  3. Readers interested in further examples of how approval of violent political means relates to adolescents’ background factors and independent variables can turn to Table 6 in the “Appendix”.

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Acknowledgements

This study was made possible by access to data from the Political Socialization Program, a longitudinal research program at YeS (Youth and Society) at Örebro University, Sweden. Responsible for the planning, implementation and financing of the collection of data were professors Erik Amnå, Mats Ekström, Margaret Kerr and Håkan Stattin. The data collection was supported by grants from Riksbankens Jubileumsfond. The study was also financially supported by the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare (Forte: 2015 00991).

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Correspondence to Viktor Dahl.

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Appendix

Appendix

See Figs. 1, 2, 3 and Table 6.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Mediation over 2 years, from wave 1 to wave 5

Fig. 2
figure 2

Over time development of approval of violent political activity for Cohort I. Color legend: lightest (political change within the law), medium (political change by breaking the law), and stark (political change by breaking the law and using violence where other people get hurt)

Fig. 3
figure 3

Correlations among the three mediation variables. The cross over the correlation between Delinquency and Religiosity indicates that it was not significant at the 0.05-level

Table 6 Background factors and independent variables over approval of violent political means (T3), percentages

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Dahl, V. Adolescents’ development of approval of violent political action: evidence from six waves of longitudinal data. Acta Polit 55, 538–559 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41269-019-00130-x

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