Abstract
The paper is devoted to a boundary problem concerned with consulting and examination methods mostly for organizational and socio-economic systems. Appreciably complicated dynamics and opacity of the economic and administrative relations hinder acquisition of objective data and, consequently, application of formal methods of modeling and forecasting. In such an environment, expert information plays a leading part. Methods of examination, elicitation, and processing of expert estimates were given brush treatment. When applied to the organizational and socio-economic systems, the traditional methods of examination in actual fact do not work. The main causes for this were identified. A methodology of “collective multi-variant examination” and methods and procedures to realize it were developed.
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Dorofeyuk, A.A., Pokrovskaya, I.V. & Chernyavkii, A.L. Expert Methods to Analyze and Perfect Management Systems. Automation and Remote Control 65, 1675–1688 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1023/B:AURC.0000044276.99273.a0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/B:AURC.0000044276.99273.a0