Skip to main content
Log in

Stickiness of employee expenses and implications for stock returns

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Eurasian Economic Review Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper proposes a new measure for operating inflexibility based on firms’ downside stickiness of expenditures on employees. Firms are affected not only by labor unions, but also by human capital risks that influence firms’ expected stock returns. The contribution of the current study is to show, in general, that expenditures on employees affect firms’ operating inflexibility and thus account for higher stock returns. This may well be the first paper to conduct time-series predictability tests of market returns for market operating leverage, and to find a positive interaction in and out of sample.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Source: Author’s own calculation using data from CRSP and CRSP/Compustat Merged dataset

Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. The sample length is about 52 years. A more recent year's analysis is interesting as well. The same procedures and regressions are performed from the year 2000 to 2015. The result is that REEA is significant at the 2% level when used alone. When adding size, book-to-market, past performance, and capital intensity, REEA remains significant at the 0.5% level. The economic impact stays about the same.

References

  • Amihud, Y., & Hurvich, C. M. (2004). Predictive regressions: A reduced-bias estimation method. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39, 813–841.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Armour, J., & Cumming, D. (2006). The legislative road to Silicon Valley. Oxford Economic Papers, 58(4), 596–635. doi:10.1093/oep/gpl007.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bazdresch, S., Belo, F., & Lin, X. (2014). Labor hiring, investment and stock return predictability in the cross section. Journal of Political Economy, 122, 129–177.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, H. J., Kacperczyk, M., & Ortiz-Molina, H. (2011). Labor unions, operating flexibility, and the cost of equity. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1, 25–58.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cirillo, V. (2014). Patterns of innovation and wage distribution. Do “innovative firms” pay higher wages? Evidence from Chile. Eurasian Business Review, 4(2), 181–206.

  • Clark, T. E., & McCracken, M. W. (2001). Tests of forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models. Journal of Econometrics, 105, 85–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clark, T. E., & McCracken, M. W. (2005). Evaluating direct multi-step forecasts. Econometric Reviews, 24, 369–404.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Connolly, R. A., Hirsch, B. T., & Hirschey, M. (1986). Union rent seeking, intangible capital, and market value of the firm. Review of Economics and Statistics, 68, 567–577.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooper, I., & Priestley, R. (2009). Time-varying risk premiums and the output gap. Rev Financial Stud, 22(7), 2801–2833.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 2, 427–465.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F., & MacBeth, J. (1973). Risk, return and equilibrium: Empirical tests. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 607–636.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ghysels, E., Santa-Clara, P., & Valkanov, R. (2005). There is a risk-return trade-off after all. Journal of Financial Economics, 76, 509–548.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inci, A. C. (2011). Capital investment, earnings, and annual stock returns: Causality relationships in China. Eurasian Economic Review, 1(2), 95–125.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jorgenson, D. W., & Griliches, Z. (1967). The explanation of productivity change. The Review of Economic Studies, 34, 249–283.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kothari, S. P., & Shanken, J. (1997). Book-to-market, dividend yield, and expected market returns: A time-series analysis. Journal of Financial Economics, 18, 169–203.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kuehn, L. A., Petrosky-Nadeau, N., & Zhang, L. (2012). An equilibrium asset pricing model with labor market search (No. w17742). National Bureau of Economic Research. doi:10.3386/w17742.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lev, B. (1974). On the association between operating leverage and risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 9, 627–641.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, H. G. (1986). Union relative wage effects. In O.C. Ashenfelter & R. Layard (Eds.), Handbook of labor economics (Vol. II, pp. 1139–1181). New York, NY: Elsevier Science.

  • McCracken, M. W. (2007). Asymptotics for out-of-sample tests of Granger causality. Journal of Econometrics, 140, 719–752.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Novy-Marx, R. (2011). Operating leverage. Review of Finance, 15, 103–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Piva, M., & Vivarelli, M. (2005). Innovation and employment: Evidence from Italian microdata. Journal of Economics, 86(1), 65–83.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pontiff, J., & Schall, L. D. (1998). Book-to-market ratios as predictors of market returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 49, 141–160.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rangazas, P., & Mourmouras, A. (2013). Wage and fertility gaps in dual economies. Eurasian Economic Review, 3(1), 59–83.

  • Schmalz, M. C. (2012). Managing human capital risk. Job Market Paper, Princeton University.

  • Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48, 1–48.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stickney, C. P., & McGee, V. E. (1982). Effective corporate tax rates the effect of size, capital intensity, leverage, and other factors. Journal of accounting and public policy, 1(2), 125–152.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taussig, R. D., & Akron, S. (2016). Returns to scale, operating leverage, and expected stock returns. Eurasian Business Review. doi:10.1007/s40821-016-0053-5

    Google Scholar 

  • Zaremba, A. (2016). Is there a low-risk anomaly across countries? Eurasian Economic Review, 6(1), 45–65.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Roi D. Taussig.

Additional information

In memory of Simon Benninga.

This study is based on my PhD dissertation from Tel Aviv University, supervised by the late Simon Benninga and Ilan Cooper. I thank Yakov Amihud, Doron Avramov, Simon Benninga, Jason Chen, Ilan Cooper, Paulo Maio, Richard Priestley, Amir Rubin, and Avi Wohl for their helpful comments. I also thank seminar participants at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Tel Aviv University, the 51st Anniversary Meeting of the Eastern Finance Association (EFA) 2015 in New Orleans, USA, and the 25th annual meeting of the European Financial Management Association (EFMA) 2016 in Basel, Switzerland. Financial support from the Rosenfeld Foundation is gratefully acknowledged. Any remaining mistakes are my own.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Taussig, R.D. Stickiness of employee expenses and implications for stock returns. Eurasian Econ Rev 7, 297–309 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-017-0070-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-017-0070-4

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation