Skip to main content
Log in

Analysis of the relevance of China’s development for main European automotive manufacturing countries

  • Published:
Economia e Politica Industriale Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This article examines the impact of China’s growth on the main EU automotive manufacturing countries during the last decade. We study to what extent China represents a significant final destination market and a major partner inside EU automakers’ international value chain, through the analysis of final and intermediate products trade flows, value added trade flows as well as intra-industry trade shares. The research evidences that, in a critical context characterised by stagnation in developed economies, Germany has attained a sharp increase in exports of domestic value added to the Chinese car market. On the contrary, the other EU countries have not succeeded in their attempt to build a stable industrial relation with China regarding the automotive sector.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT) and own calculations

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. In this section the automotive sector is defined following the classification utilized by the WTO and the European Commission (European Commission 2014; WTO 2014b), including final products (SITC 781, 782, 783) and automotive parts and pieces (SITC 784, 7132, and 7783). See Table 12 for a detailed classification. Following the NACE classification, the NACE 34 code is normally employed to analyze the sector (European Commission 2009).

  2. The Japanese carmaker Nissan is by far the UK’s biggest producer by volume, with 502,000 cars in 2013. British brands Jaguar Land Rover (340,000 cars in 2013) and MINI (175,000) stand in the second and fourth positions. The Indian group Tata Motors owns jaguar, while the German BMW Group owns MINI. Toyota and Honda are the other main producers located in the UK.

  3. SITC 78439 “Other parts and accessories” has been eliminated, because it includes a wide variety of different articles and could have distorted the ITT analysis.

  4. In 2011 the US experienced a deficit of 5300 million $ in automotive trade with China because of a 5300 million $ surplus in vehicles and a deficit of 10,500 million $ in parts and pieces (See United States Department of Commerce, USDOC).

  5. Volvo Cars was taken over by the Chinese Geely Holding Group in October 2009. The new company, Geely Sweden AB, has reported positive financial results in recent years, with a growing volume of sales in the Chinese market (Volvo Cars 2014).

  6. According to 2012 figures, the top three investors in R&D in the automotive sector were headquartered in Germany (Coffin 2013): VW ($11.7 billion), Daimler ($7.4 billion) and BMW ($5.2 billion). Next in the ranking appear PSA ($2.7 billion), Renault ($2.5 billion) and Fiat ($2.4 billion).

  7. The joint venture was founded in 1985 and during the first 5 years of its operation, the firm used the remodelled Shanghai Tractor and Automobile Corporation (STAC) manufacturing facilities, an old factory with a labour-intensive assembly line that had an annual production capacity of 5000 vehicles (Posth 2006).

  8. At present China is the second-largest market after France of Peugeot Citroën, even if the initial experience with Guangzhou Peugeot Automobile Company in 1985–1996 was not successful (Fernández and Shengjun 2007).

References

  • Abd-el-Rahman, K. (1991). Firms’ competitive and national comparative advantages as joint determinants of trade composition. Review of World Economics, 127(1), 83–97.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amighini, A. (2012). China and India in the international fragmentation of automobile production. China Economic Review, 23, 325–341.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ando, M. (2006). Fragmentation and vertical intra-industry trade in Asia. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 17(2006), 257–281.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arndt, S. W. (2005). Cross-border production sharing and exchange rates in East Asia. Working Paper, Lowe Institute of Political Economy.

  • Audi. (2014). 2013 Annual Report.

  • Balassa, B. (1966). Tariff reduction and trade in manufactures among the industrial countries. American Economic Review, 56(3), 466–473.

    Google Scholar 

  • Balcet, G., Wang, H., & Richet, X. (2012). Geely: A trajectory of catching up and asset-seeking multinational growth. International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management, 12(4), 360–375.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BMW Group. (2014). Annual Report, 2013.

  • Brown, K. C. (2011). A tale of two systems. remapping debate, December 21, 2011. Retrieved from November 3, 2016 http://www.remappingdebate.org/article/tale-two-systems.

  • Burda, M. C., & Hunt, J. (2011). What explains the German labor market miracle in the great recession? NBER Working Paper Series.

  • Burmann, C., et al. (2017). Identity-based brand management. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Bustillo, R., & Maiza, A. (2012). An analysis of the economic integration of China and the European Union: The role of European trade policy. Asia Pacific Business Review, 18(3), 355–372.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carrillo, J., Lung, Y., & Van Tulder, R. (Eds.). (2004). Cars carriers of regionalism?. New York: Palgrave Mac Millan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carstersen, V. (2013). The German labor market miracle revisited: Risk elimination in working time accounts. Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, 1(1), 19–38.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen, X. (2003). From political alliance in China’s conception to comprehensive partnership in building: The relations between China and the European Community/European Union. Dissertation.

  • Chen, H., Kondratowicz, M., & Yi, K. M. (2005). Vertical specialization and three facts about US international trade. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 16(2005), 35–59.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chiappini, R. (2011). Offshoring and export performance in the European automotive industry. Competition and Change, 16(4), 323–342.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chu, W.-W. (2011). How the Chinese government promoted a global automotive industry. Industrial and Corporate Change, 20(5), 1235–1276.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coffin D. et al. (2013). Passenger vehicles. Industry and trade summary. United States International Trade Commission. Office of Industries. Publication ITS-09.

  • Daimler. (2014). Annual Report, 2013.

  • De Backer, K., & Miroudot, S. (2013). Mapping global value chains. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 159, OECD Publishing, Paris.

  • Ding, Q., & Akoorie, M. E. M. (2013). The characteristics and historical development path of the globalizing Chinese automobile industry. Journal of Technology Management in China, 8(2), 83–104.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egger, H., & Egger, P. (2005). The determinants of EU processing trade. The World Economy, 28(2), 147–168.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eurofound. (2013). Monitoring and managing restructuring in the 21st century. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.

    Google Scholar 

  • European Commission. (2009). Automotive industry. Comprehensive analysis of the evolution of the automotive sector in Europe. Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities.

  • European Commission. (2012a). CARS 21. High level group on the competitiveness and sustainable growth of the automotive industry in the European Union. Final Report 2012.

  • European Commission. (2012b). CARS 2020: Action plan for a competitive and sustainable automotive industry in Europe. COM (2012) 636 final.

  • European Commission. (2014). European Union, trade in goods with China. Directorate General for Trade. 16-04-2014.

  • Falvey, R. E. (1981). Commercial policy and intra-industry trade. Journal of International Economics, 1(4), 495–511.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Falvey, R. E., & Kierzkowski, H. (1987). Product quality, intra-industry trade and (im)perfect. In H. Kierzowski (Ed.), Protection and competition in international trade: Essays in honor of W.M. Corden. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.

    Google Scholar 

  • Feenstra, R., & Hanson, G. H. (1996). Globalization, outsourcing and wage inequality. NBER Working Papers 5424.

  • Feenstra, R., & Hanson, G. H. (1997). Foreign direct investment and relative wages: Evidence from Mexico’s maquiladoras. Journal of International Economics, 42(3–4), 371–393.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Feenstra, R., & Hanson, G. H. (2001). Global production sharing and rising inequality: A survey of trade and wages. NBER Working Papers 8372, National Bureau of Economic Research.

  • Fernández, J. A., & Shengjun, L. (2007). China CEO: A case guide for business leaders in China. Singapore: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fiat SPA. (2014). Annual Report, 2013.

  • Fontagné, L., & Freudenberg M. (1997). Intra-industry trade: Methodological issues reconsidered. CEPII Working Papers 97-01. Centre d’Études Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales, Paris.

  • Fontagné, L., Freudenberg, M., & Gaulier, G. (2006). A systematic decomposition of world trade into horizontal and vertical IIT. Review of World Economics, 142(3), 459–475.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Freyssenet, M. (Ed.). (2009). The second automobile revolution. Trajectories of World Carmakers in the XXI Century. Palgrave MacMillan in association with GERPISA, Groupe d’Étude et de Recherche Permanent sur l’Industrie et les Salariés de l’Automobile.

  • Fung, H. G., Johnson, J. H., & Xu, Y. (2004). Winners and losers. The Chinese Economy, 37(3), 5–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Görg, H. (2000). Fragmentation and trade: US inward processing trade in the EU. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 136(3), 403–422.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Greenaway, D., Hine, R. C., & Milner, C. R. (1994). Country-specific factors and the pattern of horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade in the UK. Review of World Economics, 130(1), 77–100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenaway, D., Hine, R. C., & Milner, C. R. (1995). Vertical and horizontal intra-industry trade: A cross-industry analysis for the United Kingdom. Economic Journal, 105(November), 1505–1519.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, G., & Helpman, E. (2005). Outsourcing in a global economy. Review of Economic Studies, 172, 125–159.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grubel, H. G., & Lloyd, P. J. (1975). Intra-industry trade. The theory and measurement of international trade in differentiated products. London: Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Haugh, D., Mourougane, A., & Chatal, O. (2010). The automobile industry in and beyond the crisis. OECD. Economics Department Working Papers No. 745.

  • Helpman, E. (1984). A simple theory of international trade with multinational corporations. Journal of Political Economy, 92(3), 451–471. (University of Chicago Press).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Helpman, E., & Krugman, P. (1985). Market structure and foreign trade: Increasing returns, imperfect competition, and the international economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Holweg, M., Luo, X., & Oliver, N. (2009). The past, present and future of China’s automotive industry: A value chain perspective. International Journal of Technological Learning, Innovation and Development, 2(1–2), 76–118.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu, X., & Ma, Y. (1999). International intra-industry trade of China. Review of World Economics, 135(1), 82–101.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hummels, D., Ishii, J., & Yi, K. (2001). The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade. Journal of International Economics, 54(1), 75–96.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hummels, D., Rapoport, D., & Yi, K. (1998). Vertical specialization and the changing nature of world trade. Economic Policy Review, 4(2), 79–99. (Federal Reserve Bank of New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • Ietto-Gillies, G. (2012). Transnational corporations and international production. Concepts, theories and effects. Cheltenham and Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ito, K., & Umemoto, M. (2004). Intra-industry trade in the ASEAN Region: The case of automotive industry. ICSEAD Working Paper Series, 2004-23.

  • Jones, R. W., & Kierzkowski, H. (1990). The role of services in production and international trade: A theoretical framework. In R. Jones & A. Krueger (Eds.), The political economy of international trade: Essays in honour of Robert E. Baldwin. Oxford, United Kingdom: Blackwell

  • Jones, R. W., & Kierzkowski, H. (2000). Horizontal aspects of vertical fragmentation. CIES Policy Discussion Paper, No. 0027.

  • Jones, R. W., & Kierzkowski, H. (2001). A framework for fragmentation. In S. W. Arndt & H. Kierzkowski (Eds.), Fragmentation: New production patterns in the world economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, R. W., & Kierzkowski, H. (2004). International fragmentation and the new economic geography. HEI Working Paper, No. 11/2004.

  • Kimura, F., & Ando, M. (2005). Two-dimensional fragmentation in East Asia: Conceptual framework and empirics. International Review of Economics and Finance, 14(2005), 317–348.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kimura, F., Yuya, T., & Kazunobu, H. (2007). Fragmentation and parts and components trade: Comparison between East Asia and Europe. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 18(1), 23–40.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klier, T. L., & Rubinstein, J. M. (2006). Competition and trade in the US auto parts sector. Chicago Fed Letter, 222, 1–4.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kowalski, P. et al. (2015). Participation of developing countries in global value chains: Implications for trade and trade-related policies. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 179, OECD Publishing, Paris.

  • Krugman, P., & Venables, A. (1995). Globalization and the inequality of nations. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(4), 857–880.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lane, C. (2001). The emergence of German transnational companies. In G. Morgan et al. (Eds.), The multinational firm. New York: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Leng, X. (2004). China-EU trade relations. The period after 1975. Linköping University. Master Thesis.

  • Li, X. (2000). Foreign direct investment in China. The importance of market entry timing. Journal of Global Marketing, 14, 1–2.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lopez Gonzalez, J., Kowalski P., & Achard, P. (2015). Trade, global value chains and wage-income inequality. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 182, OECD Publishing, Paris.

  • MacDuffie, J. P. (2013). Modularity-as-property, modularization-as-process, and ‘modularity’-as frame: Lessons from product architecture initiatives in the global automotive industry. Global Strategy Journal, 3, 8–40.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MacDuffie, J. P., & Helper, S. (2006). Collaboration in supply chains. In C. Heckscher & P. S. Adler (Eds.), The firm as a collaborative community—Reconstructing trust in the knowledge economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miroudot, S., Rouzet, D., & Spinelli, F. (2013). Trade policy implications of global value chains: Case studies. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 161, OECD Publishing, Paris.

  • Nam, K.-M. (2011). Learning through the international joint venture: Lessons from the experience of China’s automotive sector. Industrial and Corporate Change, 20(3), 855–907.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nicholls, A. (2013). Exports alone can’t save Europe’s auto industry. Automotive World, 21 January 2013.

  • OECD. (2013). Medium-run capacity adjustment in the automobile industry. OECD Economics Department Policy Notes, No. 21.

  • OECD. (2015). Trade in value added: China. OECD-WTO. Trade in Value Added.

  • OICA. (2016a). 2005–2015 sales statistics. Retrieved from October 21, 2016http://www.oica.net/category/sales-statistics/sales-statistics-2005-2015/.

  • OICA. (2016b). 2015 production statistics. Retrieved from October 21, 2016 http://www.oica.net/category/sales-statistics/sales-statistics-2005-2015/.

  • Pan, Y., & Chi, P. S. K. (1999). Financial performance and survival of multinational corporations in China. Strategic Management Journal, 20, 359–374.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peridy, N. J., & Abedini, J. (2008). The growing influence of emerging countries in the world car industry: An estimation of export potentials in a world trade model. Global Economy Journal, 8(3), 2008.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Posth, M. (2006). 1,000 days in Shanghai: The story of Volkswagen—The first Chinese-German car factory. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • PSA. (2014). PSA Peugeot Citroën 2013 annual results.

  • Renault. (2014). Annual Report 2013.

  • Sabel, C. F., & Zeitlin, J. (2004). Neither modularity nor relational contracting: Inter-firm collaboration in the New Economy. Enterprise and Society, 5(3), 388–403.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shaked, A., & Sutton, J. (1984). Natural oligopolies and international trade. In H. Kierzkowski (Ed.), Monopolistic competition and international trade. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohm, S., Michael-Linke, B., & Klossek, A. (2009). Chinese companies in Germany. Chances and challenges. Deloitte: Bertelsmann Stiftung.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sturgeon, T., Biesebroeck, J. V., & Gereffi, G. (2008). Value chains, networks and clusters: Reframing the global automotive industry. Journal of Economic Geography, 8(2008), 297–321.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sturgeon, T., & Florida, R. (2004). Globalization, deverticalization, and employment in the motor vehicle industry. In M. Kenney & R. Florida (Eds.), Locating global advantage; industry dynamics in a globalizing economy. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sturgeon, T., et al. (2009). Globalisation of the automotive industry: Main features and trends. International Journal of Technological Learning, Innovation and Development, 2(1–2), 7–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Takeishi, A., & Fujimoto, T. (2001). Modularisation in the auto industry: Interlinked multiple hierarchies of product, production and supplier systems. International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management, 1(4), 379–396.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thorbecke, W., & Smith, G. (2012). Are Chinese imports sensitive to exchange rate changes? Discussion papers 12007, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

  • Thun, E. (2007). Study on the future opportunities and challenges of EU-China trade and investment relations. Study 3: Transport equipment-automotive. Emerging Markets Group. European Commission.

  • Turkcan, K. (2011). Vertical intra-industry trade and product fragmentation in the auto-parts industry. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 11(2), 149–186.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turkcan, K., & Ates, A. (2010). Structure and determinants of intra-industry trade in the US auto-industry. Journal of International and Global Economic Studies, 2(2), 15–46.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ugesh, A. J. (2013). The ‘Made in Germany’ champion brands. New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Volkswagen. (2014). Annual Report, 2013.

  • Volvo Cars. (2014). Annual Report, 2013.

  • Wakasugi, R. (2007). Vertical intra-industry trade and economic integration in East Asia. Asian Economic Papers, 6(1), 26–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WTO. (2014a). Trade policy review. China. Geneva, Switzerland: World Trade Organization.

  • WTO. (2014b). International trade statistics 2013. Geneva, Switzerland: World Trade Organization.

  • Zhang, W., & Taylor, R. (2001). EU technology transfer to China: The automotive industry as a case study. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 6(2), 261–274.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, J., Van Witteloostuijn, A., & Zhou, C. (2005). Chinese bilateral intra-industry trade: A panel data study for 50 countries in the 1992–2001 period. Review of World Economics, 141(3), 510–540.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao, Z., & Lv, Z. (2009). Global supply chain and the Chinese auto industry. The Chinese Economy, 42(6), 27–44.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Andoni Maiza.

Appendix

Appendix

See Tables 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12.

Table 8 Employment and production in automotive sector, 2008–2013.
Table 9 World production and share by leading manufacturers, 2014.
Table 10 Shares of 2011 sales and production in home country (%).
Table 11 Passenger-car sales in China by brand and car marker, 2014.
Table 12 Automotive sector.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Maiza, A., Bustillo, R. Analysis of the relevance of China’s development for main European automotive manufacturing countries. Econ Polit Ind 45, 403–424 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40812-018-0095-z

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40812-018-0095-z

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation