Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

I-C-SEA Change: A participatory tool for rapid assessment of vulnerability of tropical coastal communities to climate change impacts

  • Report
  • Published:
Ambio Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We present a synoptic, participatory vulnerability assessment tool to help identify the likely impacts of climate change and human activity in coastal areas and begin discussions among stakeholders on the coping and adaptation measures necessary to minimize these impacts. Vulnerability assessment tools are most needed in the tropical Indo-Pacific, where burgeoning populations and inequitable economic growth place even greater burdens on natural resources and support ecosystems. The Integrated Coastal Sensitivity, Exposure, and Adaptive Capacity for Climate Change (I-C-SEA Change) tool is built around a series of scoring rubrics to guide non-specialists in assigning scores to the sensitivity and adaptive capacity components of vulnerability, particularly for coral reef, seagrass, and mangrove habitats, along with fisheries and coastal integrity. These scores are then weighed against threat or exposure to climate-related impacts such as marine flooding and erosion. The tool provides opportunities for learning by engaging more stakeholders in participatory planning and group decision-making. It also allows for information to be collated and processed during a “town-hall” meeting, facilitating further discussion, data validation, and even interactive scenario building.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

References

  • Allison, E.H., A.L. Perry, M.C. Badjeck, W.N. Adger, K. Brown, D. Conway, A.S. Halls, G.M. Pilling, et al. 2009. Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries. Fish and Fisheries 10: 173–196.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alongi, D.M. 2008. Mangrove forests: Resilience, protection from tsunamis, and responses to global climate change. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 76: 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Björk, M., F. Short, E. Mcleod, and S. Beer. 2008. Managing seagrasses for resilience to climate change. Gland: IUCN.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brander, R.W., P.S. Kench, and D. Hart. 2004. Spatial and temporal variations in wave characteristics across a reef platform, Warraber Island, Torres Strait, Australia. Marine Geology 207: 169–184.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bruno, J.F., and E.R. Selig. 2007. Regional decline of coral cover in the Indo-Pacific: Timing, extent, and subregional comparisons. PLoS One 2: e711. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000711.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burke, L., K. Reytar, M. Spalding, and A. Perry. 2011. Reefs at risk revisited. Washington DC: World Resources Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carpenter, K.E., M. Abrar, G. Aeby, R.B. Aronson, S. Banks, A. Bruckner, A. Chiriboga, J. Cortés, et al. 2008. One-third of reef-building corals face elevated extinction risk from climate change and local impacts. Science 321: 560–563.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Cinner, J.E., T.R. McClanahan, N.A.J. Graham, M.S. Pratchett, S.K. Wilson, and J.-B. Raina. 2009. Gear-based fisheries management as a potential adaptive response to climate change and coral mortality. Journal of Applied Ecology 46: 724–732.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cinner, J.E., T.R. McClanahan, N.A.J. Graham, T.M. Daw, J. Maina, S.M. Stead, A. Wamukota, K. Brown, et al. 2012. Vulnerability of coastal communities to key impacts of climate change on coral reef fisheries. Global Environmental Change 22: 12–20.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daze, A., K. Ambrose, and C. Ehrhart. 2009. Climate vulnerability and capacity analysis handbook. Geneva: CARE International.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deguit, E.T., R.P. Smith, W.P. Jatulan, and A.T. White. 2004. Participatory coastal resource assessment training guide. Cebu City: Coastal Resource Management Project of the Department of Environment and Natural Resources.

  • Dilley, M., R.S. Chen, U. Deichmann, A.L. Lerner-Lam, M. Arnold, J. Agwe, P. Buys, O. Kjekstad, et al. 2005. Natural disaster hotspots: A global risk analysis. Washington DC: International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and Columbia University.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Done, T.J. 1982. Patterns in the distribution of coral communities across the Great Barrier Reef. Coral Reefs 1: 95–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duarte, C.M., W.C. Dennison, R.J.W. Orth, and T.J.B. Carruthers. 2008. The charisma of coastal ecosystems: Addressing the imbalance. Estuaries and Coasts 31: 233–238.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duarte, C.M., J. Terrados, N.S.R. Agawin, M.D. Fortes, S. Bach, and W.D. Kenworthy. 1997. Response of a mixed Philippine seagrass meadow to experimental burial. Marine Ecology Progress Series 147: 285–294.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Engle, N.L., A. de Bremond, E.L. Malone, and R.H. Moss. 2014. Towards a resilience indicator framework for making climate-change adaptation decisions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 19: 1295–1312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fussel, H.M. 2007. Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research. Global Environmental Change 17: 155–167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Garcia, S.M., and A.A. Rosenberg. 2010. Food security and marine capture fisheries: Characteristics, trends, drivers and future perspectives. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 365: 2869–2880.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gomez, E.D., P.M. Aliño, H.T. Yap, and W.Y. Licuanan. 2004. A review of the status of Philippine Reefs. Marine Pollution Bulletin 29: 62–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gornitz, V.M., R.C. Daniels, T.W. White, and K.R. Birdwell. 1994. The development of a coastal risk assessment database: Vulnerability to sea level rise in the U.S. Southeast. Journal of Coastal Research 12: 327–338.

    Google Scholar 

  • Green, A.L., L. Fernandes, G. Almany, R. Abesamis, E. McLeod, P.M, Aliño, A.T. White, R. Salm, et al. (2014). Designing marine reserves for fisheries management, biodiversity conservation, and climate change adaptation. Coastal Management 42: 143–159.

  • Hay, M.E., and N. Mimura. 2013. Vulnerability, risk and adaptation assessment methods in the Pacific Islands Region: Past approaches, and considerations for the future. Sustainability Science 8: 391–405.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hoegh-Guldberg, O., P.J. Mumby, A.J. Hooten, R.S. Steneck, P. Greenfield, E.D. Gomez, C.D. Harvell, P.F. Sale, et al. 2007. Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification. Science 318: 1737–1742.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, J.E., and P.A. Marshall. 2007. Chapter 24 the Great Barrier Reef and climate change: Vulnerability and management implications. In Climate change and the Great Barrier Reef, ed. J.E. Johnson, and P.A. Marshall, 774–801. Townsville: Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority and Australian Greenhouse Office.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, G.P., M.I. McCormick, M. Srinivasan, and J.V. Eagle. 2004. Coral decline threatens fish biodiversity in marine reserves. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 101: 8251–8253.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Kent, G. 1997. Fisheries, food security and the poor. Food Policy 22: 393–404.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Licuanan, W.Y. 2002. Regularities and generalities of Philippine coral reefs. In Atlas of Philippine coral reefs, ed. P.M. Aliño, E.F.B. Miclat, C.L. Nañola Jr, H.A. Quiaoit, and R.T. Campos, 2–6. Manila: Goodwill Trading Co., Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lioubimtseva, E. 2015. A multi-scale assessment of human vulnerability to climate change in the Aral Sea basin. Environmental Earth Sciences 73: 719–729.

  • Malhotra, A., and M.S. Fonseca (2007) WEMo (Wave Exposure Model): Formulation, procedures and validation. Beaufort, NC, NOAA/National Ocean Service/National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, (NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS, 65).

  • Mamauag, S.S., P.M. Aliño, R.O.M. Gonzales, and M.R. Deocadez. 2009. Patterns of demersal fish distribution derived from line fishing experiment in Calauag Bay, Philippines. Philippine Agricultural Scientist 92: 370–387.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mamauag, S.S., P.M. Aliño, R.J.S. Martinez, R.N. Muallil, M.V.A. Doctor, E.C. Dizon, R.C. Geronimo, F.M. Panga, et al. 2013. A framework for the vulnerability assessment of coastal fisheries ecosystems to climate change. Fisheries Research 147: 381–393.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maynard, J.A., P.A. Marshall, J.E. Johnson, and S. Harman. 2010. Building resilience into practical conservation: identifying local management responses to global climate change in the southern Great Barrier Reef. Coral Reefs 29: 381–391.

  • McLeod, E., and R.V. Salm. 2006. Managing mangroves for resilience to climate change. Gland: International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources.

    Google Scholar 

  • MERF. 2013. Vulnerability assessment tools for coastal ecosystems: A guidebook. Quezon City: Marine Environment and Resources Foundation Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Muallil, R.N., R.C. Geronimo, D. Cleland, R.B. Cabral, M.V. Doctor, A. Cruz-Trinidad, and P.M. Aliño. 2011. Willingness to exit the artisanal fishery as a response to scenarios of declining catch or increasing monetary incentives. Fisheries Research 111: 74–81.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Muallil, R.N., S. Mamauag, R. Cabral, E. Dizon, and P.M. Aliño. 2014. Status, trends and challenges in the sustainability of small-scale fisheries in the Philippines: Insights from FISHDA (Fishing Industries’ Support in Handling Decisions Application) model. Marine Policy 44: 212–221.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mumby, P.J., A.J. Edwards, J.E. Arias-González, K.C. Lindeman, P.G. Blackwell, A. Gall, M.I. Gorczynska, A.R. Harborne, et al. 2004. Mangroves enhance the biomass of coral reef fish communities in the Caribbean. Nature 427: 533–536.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Munday, P.L. 2004. Habitat loss, resource specialization, and extinction on coral reefs. Global Change Biology 10: 1642–1647.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Statistics Office (NSO) Report. 2010. Census of Philippine population. Retrieved 23 November 2013, from www.ncsb.gov.ph.

  • Polidoro B.A., K.E. Carpenter, L. Collins, N.C. Duke, A.M. Ellison, J.C. Ellison, E.J. Farnsworth, E.S. Fernando, et al. 2010. The loss of species: Mangrove extinction risk and geographic areas of global concern. PLoS One 5: e10095. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0010095.

  • Pratchett, M.S., P.L. Munday, S.K. Wilson, N.A.J. Graham, J.E. Cinner, D.R. Bellwood, G.P. Jones, N.V.C. Polunin, et al. 2008. Effects of climate-induced coral bleaching on coral reef fishes—Ecological and economic consequences. Oceanography and Marine Biology: An Annual Review 46: 251–296.

    Google Scholar 

  • Primavera, J.H., R.N. Rollon, and M.S. Samson. 2012. The pressing challenges of mangrove rehabilitation: Pond reversion and coastal protection. In Treatise on estuarine and coastal science, ed. E. Wolanski, and D.S. McLusky, 217–244. Waltham MA: Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reigl, B., M.H. Schleyer, P.J. Cook, and G.M. Branch. 1995. Structure of Africa’s southernmost coral communities. Bulletin of Marine Science 56: 676–691.

    Google Scholar 

  • Romieu, E., T. Welle, S. Schneiderbauer, M. Pelling, and C. Vinchon. 2010. Vulnerability assessment within climate change and natural hazard contexts: Revealing gaps and synergies through coastal applications. Sustainability Science 5: 159–170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sale P.F., H. Van Lavieren, M.C. Ablan Lagman, J. Atema, M. Butler, C. Fauvelot, J.D. Hogan, G.P. Jones, et al. 2010. Preserving reef connectivity: A handbook for marine protected area managers. Connectivity Working Group, Coral Reef Targeted Research & Capacity Building for Management Program, UNU-INWEH.

  • Sanciangco, J.C., K.E. Carpenter, P.J. Etnoyer, and F. Moretzsohn. 2013. Habitat availability and heterogeneity and the Indo-Pacific warm pool as predictors of marine species richness in the tropical Indo-Pacific. PLoS One 8: e56245.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Scavia, D., J.C. Field, D.F. Boesch, R.W. Buddemeier, V. Burkett, D.R. Cayan, M. Fogarty, M.A. Harwell, et al. 2002. Climate change impacts on U.S. coastal and marine ecosystems. Estuaries 25: 149–164.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schröter, D., C. Polsky, and A.G. Patt. 2005. Assessing vulnerabilities to the effects of global change: An eight step approach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10: 573–596.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spalding, M., C. Ravilous, and E. Green. 2001. World atlas of coral reefs. Berkeley, CA: UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Center and University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Terrados, J., C.M. Duarte, M.D. Fortes, J. Borum, N.S.R. Agawin, S. Bach, U. Thampanya, L. Kamp-Nielsen, et al. 1998. Changes in community structure and biomass of seagrass communities along gradients of siltation in SE Asia. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 46: 757–768.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Terrados, J., C.M. Duarte, L. Kamp-Nielsen, N.S.R. Agawin, E. Gacia, D. Lacap, M.D. Fortes, J. Borum, et al. 1999. Are seagrass growth and survival constrained by the reducing conditions of the sediment? Aquatic Botany 65: 175–197.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thieler, E.R., and E.S. Hammar-Klose. 1999. National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Future Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Atlantic Coast. U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report 99–593 (http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/of99-593/).

  • Turner II, B.L., R.E. Kasperson, P.A. Matson, J.J. McCarthy, R.W. Corell, L. Christensen, N. Eckley, J.X. Kasperson, et al. 2003. A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science USA 100: 8074–8079.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Coral Triangle Initiative Support Program. 2013. Climate change adaptation for coral triangle communities: Guide for vulnerability assessment and local early action planning (LEAP Guide). United States Agency for International Development.

  • Villanoy, C., L.T. David, O. Cabrera, M. Atrigenio, F. Siringan, P. Aliño, and M. Villaluz. 2012. Coral reef ecosystems protect shore from high-energy waves under climate change scenarios. Climatic Change 112: 493–505.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Villanoy, C.L., E. Salamante, and O. Cabrera. 2013. Chapter 3. Exposure: Waves and storm surges. In: Vulnerability assessment tools for coastal ecosystems: A Guidebook, MERF, 2013. Quezon City: Marine Environment and Resources Foundation, Inc.

  • Walsh, K.J.E., H. Betts, J. Church, A.B. Pittock, K.L. McInnes, D.R. Jackett, and T.J. McDougall. 2004. Using sea level rise projections for urban planning in Australia. Journal of Coastal Research 20: 586–598.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilkinson, C.R. 2008. Status of the coral reefs of the world: 2008. Townsville, Australia: Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network, and Reef and Rainforest Research Center.

    Google Scholar 

  • WWF South Pacific Programme. 2009. Climate witness: Community toolkit. Suva: WWF South Pacific.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yusuf, A.A., and H.A. Francisco. 2009. Climate change vulnerability mapping for Southeast Asia. Singapore: Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia.

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Conservation International, Philippines through the US Agency for International Development’s Coral Triangle Support Program, the Philippine Commission on Higher Education, and the Philippine Department of Science and Technology Resilient Seas program for supporting the VA tool development, refinement, and publication of the guidebook.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wilfredo Y. Licuanan.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (PDF 209 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Licuanan, W.Y., Samson, M.S., Mamauag, S.S. et al. I-C-SEA Change: A participatory tool for rapid assessment of vulnerability of tropical coastal communities to climate change impacts. Ambio 44, 718–736 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-015-0652-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-015-0652-x

Keywords

Navigation