Abstract
This paper provides an account of urban greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from 40 countries in Europe and examines covariates of emissions levels. We use a “top-down” analysis of emissions as spatially reported in the Emission Dataset for Global Atmospheric Research supplemented by Carbon Monitoring for Action from 1153 European cities larger than 50 000 population in 2000 (comprising >81 % of the total European urban population). Urban areas are defined spatially and demographically by the Global Rural Urban Mapping Project. We compare these results with “bottom-up” carbon accounting method results for cities in the region. Our results suggest that direct (Scopes 1 and 2) GHG emissions from urban areas range between 44 and 54 % of total anthropogenic emissions for the region. While individual urban GHG footprints vary from bottom-up studies, both the mean differences and the regional energy-related GHG emission share support previous findings. Correlation analysis indicates that the urban GHG emissions in Europe are mainly influenced by population size, density, and income and not by biophysical conditions. We argue that these data and methods of analysis are best used at the regional or higher scales.
Notes
EDGAR uses Gridded Population of the World, Version 3 (GPWv3).
Scenarios are designed to make projections of possible future climate change. The scenario families contain individual scenarios with common themes, but with different assumptions about future population and economic growth, land use and other driving forces. The resulting output from the scenario family is a range of future emission and impact levels. Among the three scenarios identified in this paper, the B1 scenario provides emissions and impacts between those of the A2R and B2 scenarios and is therefore considered to produce the medium levels of emissions and impact.
“Ten Minute Climatology” http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/tmc/.
References
Bader, N., and R. Bleischwitz. 2009. Measuring urban greenhouse gas emissions: The challenge of comparability. Survey and Perspectives Integrating Environment & Society 2: 7–21.
Baldasano, J.M., C. Soriano, and L. Boada. 1999. Emission inventory for greenhouse gases in the City of Barcelona, 1987–1996. Atmospheric Environment 33: 3765–3775.
Bettencourt, L., and G. West. 2010. A unified theory of urban living. Nature 467: 912–913.
Bettencourt, L.M.A., J. Lobo, D. Helbing, C. Kuhnert, and G.B. West. 2007. Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104: 7301–7306.
Brown, M.A., F. Southworth, and A. Sarzynski. 2008. Shrinking the carbon footprint of metropolitan America. Washington, DC: Brookings Institute Metropolitan Policy Program.
Bulkeley, H. 2013. Cities and climate change. London: Routledge.
Butler, T.M., and M.G. Lawrence. 2009. The influence of megacities on global atmospheric chemistry: A modelling study. Environmental Chemistry 6: 219–225.
Butler, T.M., M.G. Lawrence, B.R. Gurjar, J. van Aardeene, M. Schultz, and J. Lelieveld. 2008. The representation of emissions from megacities in global emission inventories. Atmospheric Environment 42: 703–719.
Carney, S., N. Green, R. Wood, and R. Read. 2009. Greenhouse gas inventories for 18 European regions. Manchester: The Greenhouse Gas Regional Inventory Project, University of Manchester.
de Sherbinin, A., & R.S. Chen. 2005. Global spatial data and information: Development, dissemination and use. In Report of a workshop held 21–23 September, 2004, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY. Palisades, NY: Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center, CIESIN, Columbia University.
Dhakal, S. 2010. GHG emission from urbanization and opportunities for urban carbon mitigation. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2: 277–283.
Dhakal, S., and H. Imura. 2004. Urban energy use and greenhouse gas emissions in Asian mega-cities, policies for a sustainable future. Tokyo: Institute for Global Environmental Strategies.
Dodman, D. 2009. Blaming cities for climate change? An analysis of urban greenhouse gas emissions inventories. Environment and Urbanization 21: 185–201.
Duren, R.M., and C.E. Miller. 2012. Measuring the carbon emissions of megacities. Nature: Climate Change 2: 560–562.
Elvidge, C.D., K.E. Baugh, E.A. Kihn, H.W. Kroehl, and E.R. Davis. 1997. Mapping city lights with nighttime data from the DMSP operational linescan system. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 63: 727–734.
European Commission. 2003. European common indicators, towards a local sustainability profile. Milano: Ambiente Italia Research Institute.
European Commission. 2010. European economic forecast spring 2010. Luxembourg: Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). 2009. Emission database for global atmospheric research (EDGAR), release version 4.0. ed. http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
Fragkias, M., J. Lobo, D. Strumsky, and K.C. Seto. 2013. Does size matter? Scaling of CO2 emission and US urban areas. PLoS ONE 8: e64727. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0064727.
Greater London Authority. 2010. Delivering London’s energy future. London: Greater London Authority.
Grubler, A., and D. Fisk. 2012. Introduction and overview. In Energizing sustainable cities, assessing urban energy, ed. A. Grubler, and D. Fisk, 1–14. London: Routledge.
Grubler, A., X. Bai, T. Buettner, S. Dhakal, D.J. Fisk, T. Ichinose, J.E. Keirstead, G. Sammer, D. Satterthwaite, N.B. Schulz, N. Shah, J. Steinberger, and H. Weisz. 2012. Chapter 18: Urban energy systems. In Global energy assessment—Toward a sustainable future, ed. Global Energy Assessment, 1307–1400. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Guerois, M., and D. Pumain. 2008. Built-up encroachment and the urban field: A comparison of forty European cities. Environment and Planning A 40: 2186–2203.
Haase, D. 2008. Urban ecology of shrinking cities: An unrecognized opportunity? Nature and Culture 3: 1–8. doi:10.3167/nc.2008.030101.
Hillman, T., and A. Ramaswami. 2010. Greenhouse gas emission footprints and energy use benchmarks for eight U.S. cities. Environmental Science and Technology 44: 1902–1910.
Hoornweg, D., L. Sugar, C. Lorena, and T. Gomez. 2011. Cities and greenhouse gas emissions: Moving forward. Environment and Urbanization 23: 207–227.
ICLEI, C40 & World Resources Institute. 2012. Global protocol for community-scale greenhouse gas emissions (GPC), pilot version 1.0. ICLEI, C40, WRI.
IEA. 2008. World energy outlook 2008. Paris: OECD/IEA.
IPCC. 2007. Climate change 2007: Synthesis report. Geneva: IPCC.
Janssens-Haenhout, G., V. Pagliari, D. Guizzardi, and M. Muntean. 2012. Global emission inventories in the Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR)—Manual (I) gridding: EDGAR emissions distribution on global gridmaps. JRC Technical Reports, European Commission, Ispra, Italy.
Jenks, M., E. Burton, and K. Williams. 1996. The compact city. A sustainable urban form?. London: SPON.
Kennedy, C., A. Ramaswami, S. Carney, and S. Dhakal. 2011. Greenhouse gas emission baselines for global cities and metropolitan regions. In Cities and climate change: Responding to an urgent agenda, ed. D. Hoornweg, M. Freire, Marcus J. Lee, P. Bhada-Tata, and B. Yuen, 15–54. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Kennedy, C., J. Steinberger, B. Gason, Y. Hansen, T. Hillman, M. Havranck, D. Pataki, A. Phdungsilp, et al. 2009. Greenhouse gas emissions from global cities. Environmental Science and Technology 43: 7297–7302.
Marcotullio, P.J., A. Sarzynski, J. Albrecht, and N. Schulz. 2012. The geography of urban greenhouse gas emissions in Asia: A regional approach. Global Environmental Change, 22: 944–958.
Newman, P., and J. Kenworthy. 1989. Gasoline consumption and cities: A comparison of U.S. cities with a global survey. Journal of American Planning Association 55: 24–37.
Newman, P., and J. Kenworthy. 1999. Sustainability and cities. Washington, DC: Island Press.
Nuissl, H., D. Haase, M. Lanzendorf, and H. Wittmer. 2009. Environmental impact assessment of urban land use transitions—A context-sensitive approach. Land Use Policy 26: 414–424.
Olivier, J.G.J., A.F. Bouwman, C.W.M. Van Der Mass, and J.J.M. Berdowski. 1994. Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR). Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 31: 93–106.
Olivier, J.G.J., A.F. Bouwman, K.W. Van der Hoek, and J.J.M. Berdowski. 1998. Global air emission inventories for anthropogenic sources of NOx, NH3 and N2O in 1990. Environmental Pollution 102: 135–148.
Parshall, L., K. Gurney, S.A. Hammer, D. Mendoza, Y. Zhou, and S. Geethakumar. 2010. Modeling energy consumption and CO2 emissions at the urban scale: Methodological challenges and insights from the United States. Energy Policy 38: 4765–4782.
Ramaswami, A., T. Hillman, B. Janson, M. Reiner, and G. Thomas. 2008. A demand-centered methodology for city-scale greenhouse gas inventories. Environmental Science and Technology 42: 6455–6461.
Romero-Lankao, P., J.L. Tribbia, and D. Nychka. 2009. Testing theories to explore the drivers of cities’ atmospheric emissions. AMBIO 38: 236–244.
Satterthwaite, D. 2008. Cities’ contribution to global warming: Notes on the allocation of greenhouse gas emissions. Environment and Urbanization 20: 539–549.
Schneider, A., M.A. Friedl, and D. Potere. 2009. A new map of global urban extent from MODIS satellite data. Environmental Research Letters 4: 1–8.
Schulz, N. 2010. Delving into the carbon footprint of Singapore—Comparing direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions of a small and open economic system. Energy Policy 38: 4848–4855.
Sovacool, B.K., and M.A. Brown. 2010. Twelve metropolitan carbon footprints: A preliminary comparative global assessment. Energy Policy 38: 4856–4869.
United Nations. 2005. World population prospects, the 2004 revision, volume 1: Comprehensive tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations.
United Nations. 2010. World urbanization prospects: 2009 revisions. New York: DESA, UN.
Urban Land Institute, and Ernst & Young. 2011. Infrastructure 2011: A strategic priority. Washington, DC: Urban Land Institute.
US EIA. 2013. International energy statistics, total carbon dioxide from the consumption of energy. Washington, DC: Energy Information Agency. http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/IEDIndex3.cfm?tid=90&pid=44&aid=8. Accessed 3 August 2013.
van Amstel, A., J. Olivier, and L. Janssen. 1999. Analysis of differences between national inventories and an Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR). Environmental Science & Policy 2: 275–293.
WBCSD and WRI. 2004. A corporate accounting and reporting standard. Conches-Geneva/Washington, DC: World Business Council for Sustainable Development/World Resources Institute.
York, R., E.A. Rosa, and T. Dietz. 2003. STIRPAT, IPAT and ImPACT: Analytic tools for unpacking the driving forces of environmental impacts. Ecological Economics 46: 351–365.
Acknowledgments
This research is part of a study entitled, “Ecosystem Services for an Urbanizing Planet, What 2 billion new urbanites means for air and water,” financed by a grant from the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS project 12455) and The Nature Conservancy. Two reviewers carefully read drafts of the document and provided many questions, comments, and suggestions that greatly improved the paper. Allan Frei provided valuable recommendations concerning our analyses. The authors are responsible for any mistakes, miscalculations, and misinterpretations.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Marcotullio, P.J., Sarzynski, A., Albrecht, J. et al. A Top-Down Regional Assessment of Urban Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Europe. AMBIO 43, 957–968 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0467-6
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0467-6