Skip to main content
Log in

Spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and drought in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan during 1971–2015

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Arabian Journal of Geosciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

High rainfall variation creates problems of floods and droughts in any region of the world. This study focuses on spatial rainfall variability and drought assessment in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province of Pakistan using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Various indices like standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis were calculated from annual rainfall of 15 meteorological stations during period of 1971–2015. Mann-Kendall technique was applied to both 1-month and 12-month SPIs for trend detection. All stations showed a positive skewness except Balakot. The highest variability was found in Parachinar and Balakot. The results of 12-month SPI showed two distinct dry periods, i.e., 1984 to 1989 and 1998 to 2002. Mann-Kendall trend test for 1-month SPI reveals more significant positive trend in Parachinar and there was variation in the results of other met-stations. In almost all the met-stations, December was found the driest month as the p values were found negative except in Parachinar. Additionally, the result of 12-month SPI indicated more significant positive trend in Parachinar, whereas more significant negative trend in Balakot met-stations has been recorded.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ashraf M, Routray JK (2015) Spatio-temporal characteristics of precipitation and drought in Balochistan Province, Pakistan. Nat Hazards 77(1):229–254. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1593-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bonaccorso B, Bordi I, Cancelliere A, Rossi G, Sutera A (2003) Spatial variability of drought: an analysis of the SPI in Sicily. Water Resour Manag 17(4):273–296. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024716530289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Britannica, E. (2012). Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan, from Encyclopædia Britannica, inc. https://www.britannica.com/place/Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa

  • Dichter, D. (1967). The North-West frontier of West Pakistan: a study in regional geography: Clarendon Press

  • Huang J, Xue Y, Sun S, Zhang J (2015) Spatial and temporal variability of drought during 1960–2012 in Inner Mongolia, north China. Quat Int 355:134–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2014.10.036

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khadr M (2017) Temporal and spatial analysis of meteorological drought characteristics in the upper Blue Nile river region. Hydrol Res 48(1):265–276. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2016.194

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khan FK (2015) Pakistan geography economy and people, 4th edn. Oxford University Press, Pakistan

    Google Scholar 

  • Komuscu AU (1999) Using the SPI to analyze spatial and temporal patterns of drought in Turkey. Drought Network News (1994–2001) 11(1):7–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Kostopoulou E, Giannakopoulos C, Krapsiti D, Karali A (2017) Temporal and spatial trends of the standardized precipitation index (SPI) in Greece using observations and output from regional climate models. In: Karacostas T, Bais A, Nastos PT (eds) Perspectives on atmospheric sciences. Springer International Publishing, Cham, pp 475–481. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_68

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Y, Ren L, Hong Y, Zhu Y, Yang X, Yuan F, Jiang S (2016) Sensitivity analysis of standardization procedures in drought indices to varied input data selections. J Hydrol 538:817–830. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.04.073

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology

  • Rahman A, Dawood M (2016) Spatio-statistical analysis of temperature fluctuation using Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope approach. Clim Dyn 48(3):783–797

    Google Scholar 

  • Rahman A, Khan AN (2013) Analysis of 2010-flood causes, nature and magnitude in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. Nat Hazards 66(2):887–904. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0528-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rahman, G. (2015). Analysis of landslide risk in the eastern Hindukush: a study of Shahpur valley, Shangla, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. M.Phil Thesis. Department of Geography. University of Peshawar

  • Sheikh, M. M. (2001). Drought management and prevention in Pakistan. Paper presented at the COMSATS 1st meeting on water resources in the south: present scenario and future prospects, Islamabad

  • Sönmez FK, Kömüscü AÜ, Erkan A, Turgu E (2005) An analysis of spatial and temporal dimension of drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standardized precipitation index. Nat Hazards 35(2):243–264. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-5704-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang H, Chen Y, Pan Y, Li W (2015) Spatial and temporal variability of drought in the arid region of China and its relationships to teleconnection indices. J Hydrol 523:283–296. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.055

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilhite DA (2000) Drought as a natural hazard: concepts and definitions. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought: a global assessment, natural hazards and disasters series. Routledge Publishers, London, UK

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilhite DA, Glantz M (1985) Understanding the drought phenomenon: the role of definitions. Water Int 10(3):111–120. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508068508686328

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilhite DA, Sivakumar MV, Pulwarty R (2014) Managing drought risk in a changing climate: the role of national drought policy. Weather Climate Extremes 3:4–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.01.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yang M, Yan D, Yu Y, Yang Z (2016) SPEI-based spatiotemporal analysis of drought in Haihe River Basin from 1961 to 2010. Adv Meteorol 2016(10):1–10. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/7658015

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Zhang Z (2009) Observed changes of drought/wetness episodes in the Pearl River basin, China, using the standardized precipitation index and aridity index. Theor Appl Climatol 98(1):89–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-008-0095-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ghani Rahman.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Rahman, G., Atta-ur-Rahman, Samiullah et al. Spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and drought in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province of Pakistan during 1971–2015. Arab J Geosci 11, 46 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3396-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3396-7

Keywords

Navigation