Sugar Tech

, Volume 19, Issue 6, pp 656–661 | Cite as

Establishing a Forecast Mathematical Model of Sugarcane Yield and Brix Reduction Based on the Extent of Pokkah Boeng Disease

  • Ze-ping Wang
  • Lu Liu
  • Yu-chi Deng
  • Yi-jie Li
  • Ge-min Zhang
  • Shan-hai Lin
  • Tie-guang He
Short Communication


To explore the effects of pokkah boeng disease (PBD) on sugarcane yield components and provide scientific evidence for the evaluation of production losses, in the present study, plant height, stem diameter, single-stem weight, millable stalks, Brix, yield, and disease index (DSI) of PBD-affected sugarcane during the July–October were investigated. The frequency distribution diagram showed reduction in plant height and stem diameter, i.e., ranging from 10 to 15 cm and 0.05 to 0.06 cm, respectively, and correlation analysis in plant height, stem diameter, single-stem weight, yield, and Brix were significantly negatively correlated with DSI. Furthermore, the yield loss equation (y = 0.738 − 0.971 * x) and Brix loss equation (y = −3.464 − 1.067 * x) were determined using forecast mathematical modeling. In this study, a new method to evaluate the effects of PBD on sugarcane has been reported.


Sugarcane Pokkah boeng disease Mathematical model Fusarium verticillioides 



This work was supported by the Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences Fund (Guinongke 2017YM01), Guangxi Natural Science Funding (2016GXNSFBA380046, 2014GXNSFDA118015), and Guangxi Key Research and Development Program (AB16380126, AB16380157). Pro He provided many constructive suggestions and parts of funding to this paper.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.


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Copyright information

© Society for Sugar Research & Promotion 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Guangxi Key Laboratory of Sugarcane Genetic Improvement, Ministry of AgricultureSugarcane Research Institute of Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences-Sugarcane Research Center of Chinese Academy of Agricultural SciencesNanningChina
  2. 2.Key Laboratory of Sugarcane Biotechnology and Genetic Improvement, Ministry of AgricultureSugarcane Research Institute of Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences-Sugarcane Research Center of Chinese Academy of Agricultural SciencesNanningChina
  3. 3.Agricultural Resources and Environment Research InstituteGuangxi Academy of Agricultural SciencesNanningChina

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