Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Political Changes in China Since the 19th CCP Congress: Xi Jinping Is Not Weaker But More Contested

  • Published:
East Asia Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Since the 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Xi Jinping has continued to dominate the political stage. Having succeeded to abolish the two-term limit for the presidency in March 2018, he has consolidated even more his power, restructuring several Party and state agencies and promoting many supporters to key positions. He has also privileged very conservative policies, raising questions about China’s reform and open-door strategy. However, in the summer of 2018, in the context of a growing trade war with the US, his opponents have launched an offensive that has highlighted deepening divisions within the Party leadership and among the elites. While today Xi is more contested than before, his detractors have remained unable to weaken him, let alone to use the trade war with the US, to force him to radically change course.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Article 1 of the Constitution that before stated that “the socialist system is the fundamental system of the PRC” has been amended as follows: “the leadership of the CCP is the most essential characteristic of socialism with Chinese characteristics.” Moreover, “the socialist rule of law” replaced the traditional formula “socialist legal system.”

  2. Li Dadong of Freezing Point and Xu Zhangrun (see below) have openly criticized the decision.

References

  1. An B., “Xi: Audits to bolster clean governance”, China Daily, 24 May 2018, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201805/24/WS5b05dc0ca3103f6866eea35b.html

  2. Bradsher, K., “China Splits Top Jobs at Central Bank, Adding Another Reformer”, The New York Times, 25 March 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/25/business/china-central-bank-guo-shuqing.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fworld&action=click&contentCollection=world&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=6&pgtype=sectionfront

  3. Cao Y., “A turning point in China's disaster preparedness?”, China Dialogue, 6 August 2018, https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/10768-A-turning-point-in-China-s-disaster-preparedness-

  4. Cheung, K., “Chinese Vice-Premier Han Zheng the ‘right’ man in charge of Hong Kong affairs as city shuns political gridlock for economic growth”, South China Morning Post (SCMP), 28 June 2018, https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/2152765/chinese-vice-premier-han-zheng-right-man-charge-hong-kong

  5. “China to Improve Veterans’ Care After Protests With New Ministry”, US News, 12 March 2018, https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-03-12/china-to-set-up-veterans-affairs-administration

  6. “邓朴方:对目前中国形势的认识” (Deng Pufang: Understanding the current situation in China), 中国选举与治理 (Chinese election and governance) 31 October 2018, http://www.chinaelections.net/article/782/250065.html

  7. Deng, Yuwen, “A fillip for reforms”, SCMP, 2 October 2018, p. A11.

  8. Deng, Yuwen, “The trade war won’t shake Xi Jinping’s grip on power in China—for now”, SCMP, 30 January 2019, https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/united-states/article/2184088/trade-war-wont-shake-xi-jinpings-grip-power

  9. Dittmer, L. and Wu, Y., “The modernization of factionalism in Chinese politics”, World Politics, 47 (July 1995), 467–94.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Feigenbaum, E. A., “A Chinese puzzle: why economic ‘reform’ in Xi’s China has more meanings than market liberalization”, Marco Polo, 26 February 2018, https://macropolo.org/chinese-puzzle-economic-reform-xis-china-meanings-market-liberalization/

  11. Fewsmith, J., “The 19th Party Congress: ringing in Xi Jinping’s New Age”, China Leadership Monitor, Winter 2018, No. 55, January 23, 2018, 16–17, https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/clm55-jf-final.pdf

  12. Gan, N., “Xi Jinping cleared to stay on as China’s president with just 2 dissenters among 2,964 votes”, SCMP, 12 March 2018, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/2136719/xi-jinping-cleared-stay-president-chinas-political

  13. 公私合营或卷土重来 胡耀邦之子撰文吁警惕 (The comeback of public–private partnership: Hu Yaobang’s son calls for concern), Radio Free Asia in Cantonese, 28 September 2018, https://www.rfa.org/cantonese/news/policy-09282018074341.html

  14. 国家监委召开第一届特约监察员聘请会议 (The State Supervision Commission opens the first meeting of the newly recruited special controllers), 中央纪委国家监委网站 (CDIC website), 17 December 2018, http://www.ccdi.gov.cn/toutiao/201812/t20181217_185258.html

  15. 国务院国有企业改革领导小组组成人员调整 (Personnel of State Council SOE Reform LSG Adjusted), Xinhua, 26 July 2018, http://www.xinhuanet.com/renshi/2018-07/26/c_1123181461.htm

  16. 韩正主持召开推进“一带一路”建设工作领导小组会议 (Han Zheng presides over leading small group meeting in charge of advancing the construction work of the “Belt and Road”), Xinhua, 25 May 2018, http://www.gov.cn/guowuyuan/2018-05/25/content_5293741.htm

  17. Hu, S., “Despite headwinds, China should stick to opening up”, Caixin, 30 September 2018, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2018/09/30/despite-headwinds-china-should-stick-to-opening-up/

  18. 湖北省委教育工作领导小组召开第一次会议 (Hubei Party Committee Education Leading Group opens its first meeting), 湖北日报 (Hubei Daily), 26 December 2018, http://www.hubei.gov.cn/zwgk/hbyw/hbywqb/201812/t20181227_1375997.shtml

  19. Lam, W. W., Xi’s Grip Loosens Amid Trade War Policy Paralysis, China Brief, 1 August 2018, https://jamestown.org/program/xis-grip-on-authority-loosens-amid-trade-war-policy-paralysis/

  20. Lam, W. W., “Xi Reasserts Control Over PRC Politics As Trade War Deepens”, China Brief, 19 September 2018, https://jamestown.org/program/xi-reasserts-control-over-prc-politics-as-trade-war-deepens/

  21. Lam, W. W., “Who are Xi Jinping’s enemies?”, China Brief, vol. 19, No. 1, 4 January 2019, https://jamestown.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Read-the-1-4-2019-CB-Issue-in-PDF.pdf?x87069

  22. Lam, W. W., “China Brief Early Warning: Xi Jinping Warns Against the “Black Swans” and “Gray Rhinos” of a Possible Color Revolution”, China Brief, 20 February 2019, https://jamestown.org/program/china-brief-early-warning-xi-jinping-warns-against-the-black-swans-and-gray-rhinos-of-a-possible-color-revolution/

  23. Li, C., “China New Top Government Leaders”, Brookings, 18 March 2018, https://www.brookings.edu/interactives/chinas-new-top-government-leaders/

  24. 李可愚 (Li Keyu), 国家科技领导小组成立: 总理挂帅 央行与国资委负责人入列 (State S&T LSG established: Premier is the leader, PBC and SASAC members), 每日经济新闻 (National Business Daily), 9 August 2018, http://www.nbd.com.cn/articles/2018-08-09/1243782.html

  25. Li, Y., “Private Businesses Built Modern China. Now the Government Is Pushing Back”, The New York Times, 3 October 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/03/business/china-economy-private-enterprise.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share

  26. (两会受权发布)国务院机构改革方案 (NPC and the CPPCC are authorised to publish) State Council Restructuring Plan), Xinhua, 17 March 2018, http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2018lh/2018-03/17/c_1122552185.htm

  27. Lin Y. and Li R., “Chart: Xi’s New Committees,” Caixin, 28 August 2018, https://www.caixinglobal.com/2018-08-28/chart-xis-new-committees-101319803.html

  28. Mai, J., “Three disgraced Chinese Communist Party officials accused of trying to rig elections”, SCMP, 27 October 2017, updated 20 July 2018, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/2117190/three-disgraced-chinese-communist-party-officials

  29. Mulvenon, J., “‘Like Donkeys Slaughtered After They Are Too Old to Work a Grindstone’: PLA Veterans Protests and Party-Military Relations Under Xi Jinping”, China Leadership Monitor, No. 57, 29 August 2018, https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/clm57-jm-edited-final.pdf

  30. Miller, A. “Only Socialism Can Save China; Only Xi Jinping Can Save Socialism”, China Leadership Monitor, No. 56, 17 May 2018, https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/clm56am.pdf

  31. “Members of China’s Financial Stability and Development Committee Revealed”, China Banking News, 4 July 2018, http://www.chinabankingnews.com/2018/07/04/members-chinas-financial-stability-development-committee-revealed/

  32. Nagai, O., “China dials down Xi's personality cult as criticism mounts”, Nikkei Asian Review, 24 July 2018, https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/China-dials-down-Xi-s-personality-cult-as-criticism-mounts

  33. Nakazawa, K., “Retired sage audit ‘Xi’s China’ at summer conclave”, Nikkei Asian Review, 9 August 2018, https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/China-up-close/Retired-sages-audit-Xi-s-China-at-summer-conclave

  34. Nakazawa, K., “All the President’s men: Xi’s allies dominate US talks”, Nikkei Asian Review, 21 February 2019, https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/China-up-close/All-the-President-s-men-Xi-s-allies-dominate-US-talks

  35. Naughton, B., “Xi’s System, Xi’s Men: After the March 2018 National People’s Congress”, China Leadership Monitor, No. 56, 17 May 2018, https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/clm56bn.pdf

  36. Pei, M., “Xi Jinping’s Dilemma: Back Down or Double Down?”, China Leadership Monitor, 1 December 2018, https://www.prcleader.org/xi-s-dilemma

  37. Shih, V., “Cracks in China’s Statist Consensus?”, China Leadership Monitor, 1 December 2018, https://www.prcleader.org/cracks-in-statist-consensus

  38. 王岐山或掌经济半壁江山, (Wang Qishan may control the half of the country’s economy), 阿波罗新闻网 (Aboluo News online), 30 March 2018, http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/0330/1092358.html

  39. Wang, X., “As Fears of Xi’s Personality Cult Deepen, China Must Dial Down The Propaganda”, SCMP, 24 March 2018, https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/2138481/fears-xis-personality-cult-deepen-china-must-dial-down-propaganda

  40. Wildau, G., “Xi’s prime minister and central bank disagree openly about record expansion of credit”, Financial Times, 22 February 2019, p. 4.

    Google Scholar 

  41. Wong, C. H., “Chinese Begin to Vent Discontent With President Xi and His Policies”, Wall Street Journal, 16 August 2016, https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-begin-to-vent-discontent-with-president-xi-and-his-policies-1534350856

  42. Worden, A., “As the UN Declaration on Human Rights Defenders Turns 20, China Wages a Multi-Pronged Attack on Rights Defenders”, China Change, 14 March 2018, https://chinachange.org/2018/03/14/as-the-un-declaration-on-human-rights-defenders-turns-20-china-wages-a-multi-pronged-attack-on-rights-defenders/

  43. “Why Xi Jinping personality cult in China brings back memories of Mao”, SCMP, 7 August 2018, https://www.scmp.com/comment/letters/article/2158612/why-xi-jinping-personality-cult-china-brings-back-memories-mao

  44. Wu, G., “A Setback or Boost for Xi Jinping's Concentration of Power? Domination versus Resistance within the CCP Elite”, China Leadership Monitor, 1 December 2018, https://www.prcleader.org/bump-or-speed-up

  45. “Xi Jinping: Rule of law crucial for China's long-term development”, CGTN, 24 August 2018, https://news.cgtn.com/news/3d3d774d78497a4e79457a6333566d54/share_p.html

  46. 习近平, 在庆祝改革开放40周年大会上的讲话 (Xi Jinping, Speech at the celebration of the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up), 18 December 2018, http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/leaders/2018-12/18/c_1123868586.htm

  47. 《新闻联播》近2/3的时间,都给了这个大会 (News Report close to two third of the time is about his large meeting), 观察者 (The Observer), 11 September 2018, https://www.guancha.cn/politics/2018_09_11_471600.shtml

  48. 新疆:成立自治区党委教育工作领导小组 (Xinjiang: Establishment of the Autonomous Region Party Committee Education Leading Small Group), 中国教育报 (China Education News), 26 January 2019, http://wap.moe.gov.cn/jyb_xwfb/s5147/201901/t20190128_368226.html

  49. 《許章潤:我們當下的恐懼與期待》 (Xu Zhangrun: our fears and expectations), The Initium, 24 July 2018, https://theinitium.com/article/20180724-opinion-xuzhangrun-fear-hope/

  50. 轩 理 (Xuan Li), “保证党和国家长治久安的重大制度安排” (Major institutional arrangements for guaranteeing the long-term stability of the Party and the State), 人民日报 (People’s Daily), 1 March 2018, http://politics.people.com.cn/n1/2018/0301/c1001-29840344.html

  51. Zenz, A., “Thoroughly Reforming Them Towards a Healthy Heart Attitude—China’s Political Re-Education Campaign in Xinjiang”, SocArXiv Papers, 7 September 2018, https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/4j6rq/

  52. Zi, Y., “The militarization of China’s People’s Armed Police”, Asia Times, 25 March 2018, http://www.atimes.com/article/militarization-chinas-peoples-armed-police/

  53. 资中筠 (Zi Zhongjun), “暴风雨前的宁静,中美贸易战即将迎来终极对决” (Tranquility before the storm, the Sino-US trade war is leading to ultimate confrontation), 纵览中国 (China in Perspectives), 21 July 2018, http://www.chinainperspective.com/ArtShow.aspx?AID=195540

  54. 中共中央关于深化党和国家机构改革的决定 (CCP Central Committee Decision on Deepening the Reform of Party and state Institutions), Xinhua, 4 March 2018, http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2018-03/04/content_5270704.htm;

  55. 中共中央印发《深化党和国家机构改革方案》 (The CCP Central Committee publishes “the Plan of Deepening Reform of Party and state Institutions”), Xinhua, 21 March 2018, http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2018-03/21/content_5276191.htm#allContent

  56. 中共中央政治局召开会议 习近平主持会议 (The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee holds a meeting: Xi Jinping presides over the meeting), Xinhua, 31 July 2018, http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2018-07/31/c_1123203915.htm

  57. 中国共产党第十九届中央委员会第二次全体会议公报 (Report of the 2nd plenum of the CCP 19th Central Committee), Xinhua, 19 January 2018, http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2018-01/19/content_5258601.htm

  58. 中国共产党第十九届中央委员会第三次全体会议公报 (Report of the 3rd plenum of the CCP 19th Central Committee), Xinhua, 28 February 2018, http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2018-02/28/content_5269534.htm

  59. 中國網管禁講修憲刪任期上限 前《冰點》主編公開信促北京人大投票否決, (China’s internet management bans discussion on the constitutional revision regarding the abolishment of the two-term limit: former “Freezing Point” editor-in-chief publishes an open letter urging Beijing People’s Congress to veto the decision), 852郵報, (852 Youbao), 26 February 2018, https://www.post852.com/243422/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B%E7%B6%B2%E7%AE%A1%E7%A6%81%E8%AC%9B%E4%BF%AE%E6%86%B2%E5%88%AA%E4%BB%BB%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%8A%E9%99%90%E3%80%80%E5%89%8D%E3%80%8A%E5%86%B0%E9%BB%9E%E3%80%8B%E4%B8%BB%E7%B7%A8%E5%85%AC/

  60. 中华人民共和国宪法修正案 (Amendments of the Constitution of the People’s Republic of China), Xinhua, 12 March 2018, http://www.npc.gov.cn/npc/xinwen/2018-03/12/content_2046540.htm

  61. Zhou, X., “Xi Jinping tries to give private business a ‘confidence boost’ as economic slowdown bites”, SCMP, 2 November 2018, https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/2171267/xi-jinping-tells-chinas-private-business-owners-you-can?utm_medium=email&utm_source=mailchimp&utm_campaign=enlz-breaking_news&utm_content=20181101&MCUID=e11802d84f&MCCampaignID=10247dfae3&MCAccountID=3775521f5f542047246d9c827&tc=3

  62. 周宇 (Zhou Yu), 逢周五必有大事 中央又一新组建机构亮相 (There will be a big event every Friday. Another new organization of the central government will be unveiled), 北京青年报 (Beijing Qingnian Bao), 25 August 2018, http://news.sina.com.cn/c/xl/2018-08-25/doc-ihicsiaw7747393.shtml

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jean-Pierre Cabestan.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Cabestan, JP. Political Changes in China Since the 19th CCP Congress: Xi Jinping Is Not Weaker But More Contested. East Asia 36, 1–21 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12140-019-09305-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12140-019-09305-x

Keywords

Navigation