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Table 2 Surface of land use and land cover classes (hectares) in the Taita Hills in the 2011 baseline map (Heikinheimo 2015) and in the business as usual (BAU), food production (FP) and green integration (GI) scenarios maps

From: Views from two mountains: exploring climate change impacts on traditional farming communities of Eastern Africa highlands through participatory scenarios

Land use and land cover class Baseline BAU FP GI
Cropland 38,873 40,834 45,193 40,609
Shrubland 16,332 16,028 14,778 15,427
Thicket 19,813 18,668 14,893 18,383
Woodland & agroforestry 6076 5296 5976 6044
Plantation forest 2495 2938 2529 2392
Indigenous forest 803 633 1020 1527
Grassland 2210 2209 2211 2211
Bare soil & Built-up Areas 854 850 856 863
  1. Expected future land use and land cover changes by mid 21st-century were quantified over a 35-year period from the baseline
  2. Changes for water were not modelled, though we could expect a change in water production at catchment level and relative changes in water surface