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Table 1 Definition of future scenarios as the state transition pathways

From: The value of knowledge accumulation on climate sensitivity uncertainty: comparison between perfect information, single stage and act then learn decisions

Scenario Probability State in 2040 State in 2050 Final state beyond 2100
1 1/8 {1,2,3} {1,2} {1}
2 1/24 {1,2,3} {1,2} {2}
3 1/24 {1,2,3} {2,3} {2}
4 1/32 {1,2,3} {2,3} {3}
5 1/24 {2,3,4} {2,3} {2}
6 1/32 {2,3,4} {2,3} {3}
7 1/32 {2,3,4} {3,4} {3}
8 1/32 {2,3,4} {3,4} {4}
9 1/32 {3,4,5} {3,4} {3}
10 1/32 {3,4,5} {3,4} {4}
11 1/32 {3,4,5} {4,5} {4}
12 1/32 {3,4,5} {4,5} {5}
13 1/32 {4,5,6} {4,5} {4}
14 1/32 {4,5,6} {4,5} {5}
15 1/32 {4,5,6} {5,6} {5}
16 1/32 {4,5,6} {5,6} {6}
17 1/32 {5,6,7} {5,6} {5}
18 1/32 {5,6,7} {5,6} {6}
19 1/32 {5,6,7} {6,7} {6}
20 1/24 {5,6,7} {6,7} {7}
21 1/32 {6,7,8} {6,7} {6}
22 1/24 {6,7,8} {6,7} {7}
23 1/24 {6,7,8} {7,8} {7}
24 1/32 {6,7,8} {7,8} {8}
  1. Scenario probability is allocated as evenly as to give final state probability 1/8 equally