Abstract
Using 4128 single jumps detected from high frequency data of 220 individual stocks in SZ300P index, this paper investigates the liquidity dynamics around price jumps in Chinese market. Some interesting empirical results are obtained and the corresponding explanations are given. The frequency of positive jumps is quite higher than that of negative jumps. The trading volumes and average trade sizes are all in a high level around positive jumps. The relatively low liquidities around negative jumps show that negative jumps may be generated and enlarged by poor liquidity provision. The price reversal after price jumps is significant, and price reversal lasts longer after positive jumps. Moreover, the size and direction of jumps are significantly correlated with the returns and trades in the post-jump trading time. These findings are believed to be associated with the high proportion of retail investors and their herding behavior for price trend chasing.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Duffie D and Pan J, Analytical value-at-risk with jumps and credit risk, Finance and Stochastics, 2001, 5(6): 155–180.
Jarrow R and Rosenfeld E, Jump risks and the intertemporal capital asset pricing model, Journal of Business, 1984, 57(3): 337–351.
Merton R C, The impact on option pricing of specification error in the underlying stock price returns, Journal of Finance, 1976a, 31(1–2): 333–350.
Merton R C, Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous, Journal of Financial Economics, 1976b, 3(2): 125–144.
Duong D and Swanson N R, Volatility in discrete and continuous-time models: A survey with new evidence on large and small jumps, Advances in Econometrics, 2011, 27: 179–233.
Andersen T G, Bollerslev T, Diebold F X, et al., Micro effects of macro announcements: Real-time price discovery in Foreign Exchange, American Economic Review, 2003, 93(1): 38–62.
Andersen T G, Bollerslev T, Diebold F X, et al., Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets, Journal of International Economics, 2007, 73(2): 251–277.
Evans K P, Intraday jumps and US macroeconomic news announcements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 2011, 35(10): 2511–2527.
Lee S S and Mykland P A, Jumps in financial markets: A new nonparametric test and jump dynamics, Review of Financial studies, 2008, 21(6): 2535–2563.
Lahaye J, Laurent S, and Neely C, Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26(6): 893–921.
Jiang G J, Lo I, and Verdelhan A, Information shocks, liquidity shocks, jumps, and price discovery: Evidence from the US Treasury market, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2011, 46(2): 527–551.
Boudt K and Petitjean M, Intraday liquidity dynamics and news releases around price jumps: Evidence from the DJIA stocks, Journal of Financial Markets, 2014, 17: 121–149.
Zhou H and Zhu J, Jump risk and cross section of stock returns: Evidence from China’s stock market, Journal of Economics & Finance, 2011, 35(3): 309–331.
He C and Meng W, Dynamic portfolio choice under the time-varying, jumps, and knight uncertainty of asset return process, Journal of Systems Science & Complexity, 2012, 25(5): 896–908.
Gong P and Yang B, Using Lévy jumps to measure informed trading and the empirical study, Journal of Management Science in China (in Chinese), 2014, 17(10): 82–94.
Wang Y and Tong H, Modeling and estimating the jump risk of exchange rates: Applications to RMB, Physica A Statistical Mechanics & Its Applications, 2008, 387(26): 6575–6583.
Hong Y, Lin H, and Wang S, Modeling the dynamics of chinese spot interest rates, Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013, 34(5): 1047–1061.
Cai F and Zheng L, Institutional trading and stock returns, Finance Research Letters, 2004, 1(3): 178–189.
Xiong W and Yu J, The Chinese warrants bubble, American Economic Review, 2011, 101(6): 2723–2753.
Baker M and Stein J C, Market liquidity as a sentiment indicator, Journal of Financial Markets, 2004, 7(3): 271–299.
Pan J, The jump-risk premia implicit in options: Evidence from an integrated time-series study, Journal of Financial Economics, 2002, 63(1): 3–50.
Broadie M, Chernov M, and Johannes M, Model specification and risk premia: Evidence from futures options, Journal of Finance, 2007, 62(3): 1453–1490.
Easley D, De Prado M M L, and O’Hara M, Flow toxicity and liquidity in a high-frequency world, Review of Financial Studies, 2012, 25(5): 1457–1493.
Barndorff-Nielsen O E and Shephard N, Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps, Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2004, 2(1): 1–37.
Andersen T G, Dobrev D, and Schaumburg E, Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation, Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 169(1): 75–93.
Dumitru A M and Urga G, Identifying jumps in financial assets: A comparison between nonparametric jump tests, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2012, 30(2): 242–255.
Andersen T G, Bollerslev T, Diebold F X, et al., Modeling and forecasting realized volatility, Econometrica, 2003, 71(2): 579–625.
Boudt K, Croux C, and Laurent S, Robust estimation of intraweek periodicity in volatility and jump detection, Journal of Empirical Finance, 2011, 18(2): 353–367.
Lo A W and Wang J, Trading volume: Definitions, data analysis, and implications of portfolio theory, Review of Financial Studies, 2000, 13(2): 257–300.
De Bondt W F M and Thaler R H, Does the stock market overreact?, Journal of Finance, 1985, 40(3): 793–805.
De Bondt W F M and Thaler R H, Further evidence on investor overreaction and stock market seasonality, Journal of Finance, 1987, 42(3): 557–581.
De Bondt W F M, Stock Price Reversals and Overreaction to News Events: A Survey of Theory and Evidence, Springer, Berlin Heidelberg, 1989.
De Bondt W F M and Thaler R H, Financial decision-making in markets and firms: A behavioral perspective, Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, 1995, 9: 385–410.
Bremer M and Sweeney R J, The reversal of large stock-price decreases, Journal of Finance, 1991, 46(2): 747–754.
Ederington L H and Lee J H, The short-run dynamics of the price adjustment to new information, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1995, 30(1): 117–134.
Kim O and Verrecchia R E, Trading volume and price reactions to public announcements, Journal of Accounting Research, 1991, 29(2): 302–321.
Bamber L S, Barron O E, and Stober T L, Trading volume and different aspects of disagreement coincident with earnings announcements, Accounting Review, 1997, 575–597.
Jones C M, Kaul G, and Lipson M L, Transactions,volume,and volatility, Review of Financial Studies, 1994, 7(4): 631–651.
Ahn H J, Bae K H, and Chan K, Limit orders, depth, and volatility: Evidence from the stock exchange of Hong Kong, Journal of Finance, 2001, 56(2): 767–788.
Griffiths M D, Smith B F, Turnbull D A S, et al., The costs and determinants of order aggressiveness, Journal of Financial Economics, 2000, 56(1): 65–88.
Cao C, Hansch O, and Wang X, The informational content of an open limit order book, Journal of Futures Markets, 2009, 29(1): 16–41.
Kaniel R and Liu H, So what orders do informed traders use?, Journal of Business, 2006, 79(4): 1867–1913.
Lee C, Mucklow B, and Ready M J, Spreads, depths, and the impact of earnings information: An intraday analysis, Review of Financial Studies, 1993, 6(2): 345–374.
Barndorff-Nielsen O E and Shephard N, Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation, Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2006, 4(1): 1–30.
Andersen T G, Bollerslev T, and Dobrev D, No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and iid noise: Theory and testable distributional implications, Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 138(1): 125–180.
Andersen T G, Bollerslev T, Frederiksen P, et al., Continuous-time models, realized volatilities, and testable distributional implications for daily stock returns, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2010, 25(2): 233–261.
Barndorff-Nielsen O E and Shephard N, Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2002, 64(2): 253–280.
Fama E F, Fisher L, Jensen M, et al., The adjustment of stock prices to new information, International Economic Review, 1969, 10(1): 1–21.
MacKinlay A C, Event studies in economics and finance, Journal of Economic Literature, 1997, 35(1): 13–39.
Krinsky I and Lee J, Earnings announcements and the components of the bid-ask spread, Journal of Finance, 1996, 51(4): 1523–1535.
Kavajecz K A, A specialist’s quoted depth and the limit order book, Journal of Finance, 1999, 54(2): 747–771.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation under Grant Nos. 71431008, 71532013, 71501170, and Zhejiang Provincial National Science Foundation under Grant No. LQ16G010001. The authors are also appreciated for the fund provided by Zhejiang Provincial Key Research Base for Humanities and Social Science Research (Applied Economics in Zhejiang Gongshang University).
This paper was recommended for publication by Editor ZHANG Xun.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Wan, D., Wei, X. & Yang, X. Liquidity dynamics around intraday price jumps in Chinese stock market. J Syst Sci Complex 30, 434–463 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-016-5033-4
Received:
Revised:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-016-5033-4