Advertisement

Water Resources Management

, Volume 33, Issue 2, pp 657–675 | Cite as

Assessing the Adaptability of Water Resources System in Shandong Province, China, Using a Novel Comprehensive Co-evolution Model

  • Jiping Yao
  • Guoqiang WangEmail author
  • Weina Xue
  • Zhipeng YaoEmail author
  • Baolin Xue
Article
  • 103 Downloads

Abstract

Studying the complex adaptability of regional water resources systems (WRS) plays an important role in promoting the sustainable utilization of water resources and improving the adaptation of WRS to environmental change. This study proposed a comprehensive co-evolution model, based on the conditions of the elements and on the mechanism of their interaction, to study the adaptive development of WRS. Using the model, the survival fitness of each subsystem, the coordination degree between each subsystem, and the survival fitness of the WRS were obtained, and the main factors that affect the adaptation of the WRS were analyzed. Shandong Province in China was used as an example. The results showed that during 2006–2015, the average annual survival fitness of the resource, social, economic, and ecological subsystems was 0.257, 0.282, 0.257, and 0.251, respectively, which indicated a low adaptability for each subsystem. The coordination degree between each subsystem (resource–society, resource–economy, resource–ecology, social–economic, social–ecological, and economic–ecological) was 0.319, 0.355, 0.334, 0.364, 0.333, and 0.351, respectively, which indicated minimal coordination between each subsystem. The average annual survival fitness of the WRS was 0.551, and the adaptability of the WRS was classified as basic. Further analysis revealed that the coordination problem caused by the interaction of the elements in each subsystem was responsible for the low adaptability. The coordination problem, therefore, places severe constraints on the adaptive development of WRS. Therefore, solving the problem of coordination between elements is fundamental to improving the adaptability of WRS and promoting its sustainable development.

Keywords

Water resources systems Adaptability Comprehensive co-evolution model Survival fitness Coordination degree 

Notes

Acknowledgements

This study was supported by the Chinese National Special Science and Technology Program of Water Pollution Control and Treatment (Grant No. 2017ZX07302004), the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFC0401308) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51679006). We thank Paul Seward, PhD, from Liwen Bianji, Edanz Group China (https://www.edanzediting.com/), for editing the English text of this manuscript.

Compliance with Ethical Standards

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

References

  1. Arsenault R, Brissette F, Malo J-S, Minville M, Leconte R (2013) Structural and non-structural climate change adaptation strategies for the Péribonka water resource system. Water Resour Manag 27(7):2075–2087CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  2. Ceola S, Montanari A, Krueger T, Dyer F, Kreibich H et al (2016) Adaptation of water resources systems to changing society and environment: a statement by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. Hydrol Sci J 61(16):2803–2817CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Cheng K, Fu Q, Chen X, Li T, Jiang Q et al (2015) Adaptive allocation modeling for a complex system of regional water and land resources based on information entropy and its application. Water Resour Manag 29(14):4977–4993CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Delgado A, Romero I (2016) Environmental conflict analysis using an integrated grey clustering and entropy-weight method: a case study of a mining project in Peru. Environ Model Softw 77:108–121CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Durbach I, Lahdelma R, Salminen P (2014) The analytic hierarchy process with stochastic judgements. Eur J Oper Res 238(2):552–559CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. Ehrlich PR, Raven PH (1964) Butterflies and plants: a study in coevolution. Evolution 18(4):586–608CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. Fu Q, Meng F, Li T, Liu D, Gong F (2016) Cloud model-based analysis of regional sustainable water resource utilization schemes. Int J Agric Biol Eng 9(5):67–75Google Scholar
  8. He Y, Yang J, Chen X, Lin K, Zheng Y et al (2017) A two-stage approach to basin-scale water demand prediction. Water Resour Manag 32(2):401–416CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. He Y, Chen X, Sheng Z, Lin K, Gui F (2018a) Water allocation under the constraint of total water-use quota: a case from Dongjiang River basin, South China. Hydrol Sci J 63(1):154–167CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. He Y, Lin K, Zhang F, Wang Y, Chen X (2018b) Coordination degree of the exploitation of water resources and its spatial differences in China. Sci Total Environ 644:1117–1127CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Hillis WD (1990) Co-evolving parasites improve simulated evolution as an optimization procedure. Phisica D 42(1–3):228–234CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. Jingtao H, Feng J, Qingyuan S, Zhengdong Y, Lei F (2016) On a comprehensive evaluation system of urban water safety—a case study of Zibo City, Shandong. J Saf Environ 16(3):192–197 (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  13. Li B, Lin T, Liao L, Fan C (2008) Genetic algorithm based on multipopulation competitive coevolution. Evolutionary Computation IEEE 225Google Scholar
  14. Li Y, Y L, YZ, Y S, X Z (2012). Investigation of a coupling model of coordination between urbanization and the environment. J Environ Manag: 127–133Google Scholar
  15. Liu D, Chen X, Nakato T (2012) Resilience assessment of water resources system. Water Resour Manag 26(13):3743–3755CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. Liu D, Zhao D, Liang X, Wu Q (2014) Research on evaluating water resource resilience based on projection pursuit classification model. Appl Water Sci 6(1):97–105CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. Minville M, Brissette F, Krau S, Leconte R (2009) Adaptation to climate change in the Management of a Canadian Water-Resources System Exploited for hydropower. Water Resour Manag 23(14):2965–2986CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  18. Pina J, Tilmant A, Anctil F (2017) Horizontal approach to assess the impact of climate change on water resources systems. J Water Resour Plan Manag 143(4):1–11CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. Ren C, Guo P, Li M, Li R (2016) An innovative method for water resources carrying capacity research--metabolic theory of regional water resources. J Environ Manag 167:139–146CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  20. Sauchyn DJ, St-Jacques J-M, Barrow E, Nemeth MW, MacDonald RJ et al (2016) Adaptive water resource planning in the South Saskatchewan River basin: use of scenarios of Hydroclimatic variability and extremes. JAWRA J Am Water Resour Assoc 52(1):222–240CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Sun G, Guan X, Yi X, Zhou Z (2018) Grey relational analysis between hesitant fuzzy sets with applications to pattern recognition. Expert Syst Appl 92:521–532CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Wang G, Wu B, Zhang L, Jiang H, Xu Z (2014) Role of soil erodibility in affecting available nitrogen and phosphorus losses under simulated rainfall. J Hydrol: 180–191Google Scholar
  23. Whateley S, Steinschneider S, Brown C (2016) Selecting stochastic climate realizations to efficiently explore a wide range of climate risk to water resource systems. J Water Resour Plan Manag 142(6):06016002CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  24. Wheater HS, Gober P (2015) Water security and the science agenda. Water Resour Res 51(7):5406–5424CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. Wu B, Wang G, Jiang H, Wang J, Liu C (2016) Impact of revised thermal stability on pollutant transport time in a deep reservoir. J Hydrol 535:671–687CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  26. Wu B, Wang G, Wang Z, Liu C, Ma J (2017) Integrated hydrologic and hydrodynamic modeling to assess water exchange in a data-scarce reservoir. J Hydrol 555:15–30CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. Yao J, Ren Y, Wei S, Pei W (2018) Assessing the complex adaptability of regional water security systems based on a unified co-evolutionary model. J Hydroinf 20(1):34–48CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  28. Yong-xing Y, Ke L, Yang Y (2013) Evaluation index system of swamp degradation in Zoige plateau of Sichuan, Southwest China under drainage stress. Yingyong Shengtai Xuebao(7), 1826–1836Google Scholar
  29. Yu Z (2016) A Comprehensive Evaluation on Sustainability of Water Resources System Based on Development Degree and Coordination Degree. Master, Liaoning Normal UniversityGoogle Scholar
  30. Zhang J-Y, Wang L-C (2014) Assessment of water resource security in Chongqing City of China: what has been done and what remains to be done? Nat Hazards 75(3):2751–2772CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. Zhao J, Jin J, Zhu J, Xu J, Hang Q et al (2016) Water resources risk assessment model based on the subjective and objective combination weighting methods. Water Resour Manag Int J, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA) 30(9):3027–3042Google Scholar
  32. Zhu Q, Shen L, Liu P, Zhao Y, Yang Y et al (2015) Evolution of the water resources system based on synergetic and entropy theory. Pol J Environ Stud 24(6):2727–2738CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Nature B.V. 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.College of Water SciencesBeijing Normal UniversityBeijingChina
  2. 2.School of Municipal and Environmental EngineeringShandong Jianzhu UniversityJinanChina
  3. 3.China National Environmental Monitoring CenterBeijingPeople’s Republic of China

Personalised recommendations