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Scientometrics

, Volume 84, Issue 3, pp 669–686 | Cite as

Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process

  • Chan-Yuan Wong
  • Kim-Leng Goh
Article

Abstract

Through theoretical analysis and empirical demonstration, this paper attempts to model the behavior of science and technology by investigating the self-propagating behavior of their diffusion for South Korea, Malaysia and Japan. The dynamics of the self-propagating behavior were examined using the logistic growth function within a dynamic carrying capacity, while allowing for different effectiveness of potential influence of science and technology producers on potential adopters. Evidence suggests that the self-propagating growth function is particularly relevant for countries with advanced science and technology, like Japan. While self-propagating growth was also found for South Korea, the diffusion process remained fairly static for Malaysia.

Keywords

Carrying capacity Diffusion Growth function Science Technology 

JEL classification

C10 O33 

Notes

Acknowledgements

We are grateful to two anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions that led to improvement of the paper. We are solely responsible for any remaining errors. We would like to thank Kurunathan Ratnavelu and Behrooz Asgari for their generous input, in particular research materials for this paper. We would also like to express our appreciation to the participants of the 2009 IEEE International Conference on Advanced Management Science (Singapore) for feedback on an earlier draft of this paper. The funding from University of Malaya to support this research project is gratefully acknowledged.

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Copyright information

© Akadémiai Kiadó, Budapest, Hungary 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Science and Technology Studies, Faculty of ScienceUniversity of MalayaKuala LumpurMalaysia
  2. 2.Faculty of Economics and AdministrationUniversity of MalayaKuala LumpurMalaysia

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