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Home-Purchase Limits and Housing Prices: Evidence from China

  • Shijun Jia
  • Yourong Wang
  • Gang-Zhi Fan
Article

Abstract

Home-purchase limits, introduced by China’s central government in April 2010 and afterward implemented by the local governments of major cities successively, were usually regarded as the most stringent policy instruments regulating over-heated Chinese housing markets over recent years. Our study attempts to investigate the effects of the home-purchase limits based on the micro data of resale housing transactions between January 2008 and December 2011 in Guangzhou city, one of the largest cities in mainland China. Our regression results show that, while the central government’s notice negatively affects housing prices, the localized home-purchase limit measures have positive effects on housing prices in Guangzhou, which deviate far from the expectations the policy makers might have. We also find that the effects of the policies are significantly stronger for the housing units of high-rise building (or with big size) relative to those without elevators (or with small size). We provide the explanation from the aspects of policy uncertainty and redevelopment option embodied in the housing.

Keywords

Home-purchase limits housing prices policy uncertainty redevelopment option Guangzhou 

JEL Code

R21 R31 R38 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.School of Business AdministrationGuangzhou UniversityGuangzhouChina
  2. 2.School of Management Science and EngineeringCentral University of Finance and EconomicsBeijingChina
  3. 3.Department of Real Estate StudiesKonkuk UniversitySeoulKorea

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