Skip to main content
Log in

Understanding and Predicting Data Hotspots in Cellular Networks

  • Published:
Mobile Networks and Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The unprecedented growth in mobile data usage is posing significant challenges to cellular operators. One key challenge is how to provide quality of service to subscribers when their residing cell is experiencing a significant amount of traffic, i.e. becoming a traffic hotspot. In this paper, we perform an empirical study on data hotspots in today’s cellular networks using a 9-week cellular dataset with 734K+ users and 5327 cell sites. Our analysis examines in details static and dynamic characteristics, predictability, and causes of data hotspots, and their correlation with call hotspots. We show that using standard machine learning methods, future hotspots can be accurately predicted from past observations. We believe the understanding of these key issues will lead to more efficient and responsive resource management and thus better QoS provision in cellular networks. To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first to empirically characterize traffic hotspots in today’s cellular networks.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. The use of haversine distance helps to cluster cells separated by a small physical distance.

References

  1. Cisco Visual Networking Index. http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/visual-networking-index-vni/white_paper_c11-520862.html

  2. Nan E, Chu X, Guo W, Zhang J (2013) User data traffic analysis for 3G cellular networks. In: Proc. of CHINACOM, pp 468– 472

  3. Paul U, Subramanian A, Buddhikot M, Das S (2012) Understanding spatial relationships in resource usage in cellular data networks. In: Proc. of INFOCOM workshops, pp 244–249

  4. Laner M, Svoboda P, Schwarz S, Rupp M (2012) Users in cells: a data traffic analysis. In: Proc. of WCNC, pp 3063–3068

  5. Paul U, Subramanian A, Buddhikot M, Das S (2011) Understanding traffic dynamics in cellular data networks. In: Proc. of INFOCOM, pp 882–890

  6. Shafiq M Z, Ji L, Liu A Z, Pang J, Wang J (2012) Characterizing geospatial dynamics of application usage in a 3G cellular data network. In: Proc. of INFOCOM, pp 1341–1349

  7. Shafiq M Z, Ji L, Liu A X, Wang J (2011) Characterizing and modeling Internet traffic dynamics of cellular devices. In: Proc. of SIGMETRICS, pp 305–316

  8. Zhou X, Zhao Z, Li R, Zhou Y, Zhang H (2012) The predictability of cellular networks traffic. In: Proc. of ISCIT, pp 973–978

  9. Mobile broadband with HSPA and LTE - capacity and cost aspects. http://www.developingtelecoms.com/business/opinion/123-white-papers-case-studies/3211-mobile-broadband-with-hspa-and-lte-capacity-and-cost-aspects.html

  10. Sinnott R W (1984) Virtues of the haversine. Sky Telescop 68(2):159

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Defays D (1977) An efficient algorithm for a complete link method. Comput J (Br Comput Soc) 20(4):364–366

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. Isaacman S, Becker R, Cáceres R, Kobourov S, Martonosi M, Rowland J, Varshavsky A (2011) Identifying important places in people’s lives from cellular network data. In: Proc. of 9th international conference on pervasive computing, pp 133– 151

  13. Hall M, Frank E, Holmes G, Pfahringer B, Reutemann R, Witten I H (2009) The WEKA data mining software: an update. SIGKDD Explor Newsl 11(1):10–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Cortes C, Vapnik V (1995) Support-vector networks. Mach Learn 20(3):273–297

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Breiman L (2001) Random forests. Mach Learn 45(1):5– 32

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  16. Guyon I, Elisseeff A (2003) An introduction to variable and feature selection. J Mach Learn Res 3:1157–1182

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Mohri M, Rostamizadeh A, Talwalkar A (2012) Foundations of machine learning. The MIT Press

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ana Nika.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Nika, A., Ismail, A., Zhao, B.Y. et al. Understanding and Predicting Data Hotspots in Cellular Networks. Mobile Netw Appl 21, 402–413 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-015-0648-6

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-015-0648-6

Keywords

Navigation