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The temporal and spatial evolution of natural disasters in China

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Abstract

This article takes 31 provincial administrative units in China as the research object, selects a number of disaster index, and uses AHP method to weight the absolute index and relative index of disasters in China during 2010–2016, respectively, so that the intensity of disasters and the regional The degree of influence was quantified; spatial spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of natural disasters in China were analyzed using spatial interpolation analysis, time series analysis, and gravity model; Spearman correlation analysis was used to analyze waste water, waste gas, solid waste, and urban gardens. In terms of afforestation and other aspects, a number of social factors are selected to analyze the correlation between these social factors and the changes in disaster conditions. The research shows that in the study period, the southwestern region of China is the region with the highest intensity of disasters, and the northwest and southwest regions are the regions with the deepest degree of disaster impact; the degree of disasters has spatial clustering in time series, in which the disaster situation presents Rise-Down-Rise. The center of China’s absolute index of disasters is mainly located at the junction of Hubei, Shaanxi, and Sichuan. The relative index spatial center is located in the southeast of Shaanxi Province and the northern part of Chongqing. In the social elements, chemical oxygen demand emissions, sulfur dioxide emissions, industrial solid waste discards and disposal of domestic waste and park green space. The area and urban afforestation coverage are generally related to the disaster index. Among them, the greater the discharge of waste water, waste air and solid waste, the greater the intensity of the disaster; the larger the green area of the city, the greater the amount of solid waste disposal, and the lower the impact of the disaster on the development of the area.

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Notes

  1. The standard map is compiled according to the national border painting standards of China and the world. The public can browse and download the standard map for free. http://bzdt.nasg.gov.cn/.

  2. “The China Statistical Yearbook” (11,12,13,14,15,16,2017) is an annual statistical publication printed by the National Bureau of Statistics that comprehensively reflects the economic and social development of the People's Republic of China. The contents of the yearbook include more than 20 chapters in administrative divisions and natural resources, national economic accounting, population information, urban profiles, and environmental protection, etc. One issue per year. The public can purchase books or online browsing data. http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/.

  3. This rule is formulated to provide timely, accurate, objective and comprehensive information on natural disasters and disaster relief work, and to provide decision-making basis for disaster relief work and other related work (Zhejiang Provincial Civil Affairs Department 2008).

  4. The “China Environmental Statistics Yearbook” is a set of materials compiled by the National Bureau of Statistics and the Ministry of Environmental Protection and other relevant ministries and commissions to reflect the basic conditions and basic data of various fields in China's environment. The yearbook includes 14 chapters including wastewater, waste gas, industrial solid waste, and environmental pollution control investment, etc. One issue per year. The public can purchase books or online browsing data (National Bureau of Statistics of People's Republic of China 2015).

  5. The “China Urban Construction Statistical Yearbook” is a comprehensive set of information reflecting the construction and development of urban and rural public utilities in China, and facilitating the understanding of the overall picture of China's urban and rural construction. The yearbook includes 14 chapters on municipal public facilities level, population and construction land, water supply, gas, rail transit, etc. One issue per year. The public can purchase books or online browsing data. http://www.mohurd.gov.cn/xytj/tjzljsxytjgb/ (Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People’s Republic of China 2018).

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Funding

Postgraduate Research and Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (KYCX17_0857), Naijing Guo, 15,000.

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Correspondence to Xiaolan Tang.

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Guo, N., Ren, Y. & Tang, X. The temporal and spatial evolution of natural disasters in China. GeoJournal 84, 1515–1530 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-018-9934-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-018-9934-8

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