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Multi-criteria risk management with the use of DecernsMCDA: methods and case studies

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Abstract

Emerging challenges of risk management, environmental protection, and land-use planning requires integration of stakeholder values and expert judgment. The process of decision making in situation of high uncertainty can be assisted through the use of decision support systems (DSSs). Such DSSs are often based on tools for spatial data representation (GIS) and environmental models that are integrated using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). This paper presents DecernsMCDA implementing all major types of multi-criteria methods and tools (AHP, MAUT, Outranking) under the same user interface. In addition to providing ability for testing model uncertainty associated with selection of specific MCDA algorithms, DecernsMCDA implements new algorithms for parameter uncertainty analysis based on probabilistic approaches and fuzzy sets. The paper illustrates application of DecernsMCDA for selecting remedial alternative at radiologically contaminated sites.

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Acknowledgments

We thank all our colleagues from DECERNS team for their participation in development of the described system. This study was supported in parts by the US Army Corps of Engineers.  Permission was granted by the USACE to publish this material.

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Correspondence to Boris Yatsalo.

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Yatsalo, B., Gritsyuk, S., Sullivan, T. et al. Multi-criteria risk management with the use of DecernsMCDA: methods and case studies. Environ Syst Decis 36, 266–276 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-016-9598-1

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