Environment Systems & Decisions

, Volume 33, Issue 1, pp 60–75 | Cite as

Multi-hazard, multi-infrastructure, economic scenario analysis

  • Mark A. Ehlen
  • Vanessa N. Vargas


Over the past 10 years, the National Infrastructure Simulation and Analysis Center (NISAC) has conducted over 150 detailed multi-hazard, multi-infrastructure scenario analyses of a wide range of man-made and natural disasters. Using a model-based implementation of the Department of Homeland Security risk management framework, NISAC analyzes scenarios ranging from extreme-event situational awareness to long-term strategic policy for improved homeland security and resilience to these events. This article describes the essential elements of the NISAC scenario analysis process, the toolkit of subject-matter expertise and models used, with a particular focus on the economics component. An example set of Hurricane Katrina economic-analysis results is used to illustrate basic elements of NISAC economics scenario analysis.


Homeland security Consequence analysis Economic analysis Critical infrastructure Natural disasters Terrorist events 


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York (outside the USA) 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Sandia National LaboratoriesAlbuquerqueUSA

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