Chemical and Petroleum Engineering

, Volume 42, Issue 5–6, pp 339–344 | Cite as

The potential damage zone concept and risk analysis for complicated technical systems

  • A. M. Lepikhin
Safety, Diagnosis, and Repair


It is shown that the following tasks have to be handled in devising models, computational techniques, and a database for risk analysis for complicated technical systems (CTS): the description of CTS from the viewpoint of integrity and hierarchic structure; formulation of the data support to risk analysis; choice of risk criterion and the setting up of risk analysis techniques with given adjustable parameters. Developments in CTS risk analysis require advances in the mechanics of deformation and failure and also in computational technologies and engineering.


Risk Analysis Risk Function Technological Defect Risk Analysis Method Probabilistic Safety Assessment 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.


  1. 1.
    State Scientific and Technical Program “Safety for the Population and Economic Objects with Allowance for the Risks of Natural and Man-Made Catastrophes” [in Russian], IMASh, Moscow (1991).Google Scholar
  2. 2.
    E. Henley and H. Kumamoto, Reliability in Engineering Systems and Risk Evaluation [Russian translation], Mashinostroenie, Moscow (1984).Google Scholar
  3. 3.
    RD 03-418-01: Statements of Method on Conducting Risk Analysis for Hazardous Industrial Plant [in Russian], NTTs Promyshlennaya Bezopasnost’, Moscow (2001).Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    N. A. Makhutov, Yu. I. Shokin, A. M. Lepikhin, and V. V. Moskvichev, Problems in the Mechanics of Catastrophes in Safety in Engineering Systems [in Russian], VTs SO RAN, Krasnoyarsk, Preprint No. 10 (1991).Google Scholar
  5. 5.
    A. M. Lepikhin, V. V. Moskvichev, N. A. Makhutov, and A. P. Chernyaev, Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Engineering System Structures [in Russian], Nauka, Novosibirsk (2003).Google Scholar
  6. 6.
    V. V. Bolotin, Safety in Machines and Constructions [in Russian], Mashinostroenie, Moscow (1990).Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2006

Authors and Affiliations

  • A. M. Lepikhin
    • 1
  1. 1.Computational Simulation Institute, Siberian DivisionRussian Academy of SciencesKrasnoyarsk

Personalised recommendations