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Estimated Population Size of Men Who Have Sex with Men, San Francisco, 2017

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Abstract

Current population size estimates of communities at risk for HIV are needed to adequately plan interventions and care. We update the estimated number of men who have sex with men (MSM) living in San Francisco. Multiple data sources and approaches, including population growth, registered HIV cases, wisdom of the crowd, and a published estimate on the proportion of adults who are MSM were used for estimation. The several estimates were synthesized into a final figure with acceptable bounds using a Bayesian method. We project 69,974 (acceptable bounds 65,523–74,323) MSM are living in San Francisco as of the beginning of 2017. The population of MSM in San Francisco has increased by 19.4% since 2014.

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Funding

This study was partially funded by CDC (Grant Number U62PS005077).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Public Health, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA

    Henry F. Raymond

  2. University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA

    Henry F. Raymond, Willi McFarland & Paul Wesson

  3. San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, CA, USA

    Willi McFarland

Authors
  1. Henry F. Raymond
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  2. Willi McFarland
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  3. Paul Wesson
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Correspondence to Henry F. Raymond.

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All authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Raymond, H.F., McFarland, W. & Wesson, P. Estimated Population Size of Men Who Have Sex with Men, San Francisco, 2017. AIDS Behav 23, 1576–1579 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2321-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-018-2321-0

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