Abstract
The aim of this paper is to develop a general, unified approach, based on some partial estimation functions which we call “Z-process”, to some change point problems in mathematical statistics. The method proposed can be applied not only to ergodic models but also to some models where the Fisher information matrix is random. Applications to some concrete models, including a parametric model for volatilities of diffusion processes are presented. Simulations for randomly time-transformed Brownian bridge process appearing as the limit of the proposed test statistics are performed with computer intensive use.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aït-Sahalia Y (1999) Transition densities for interest rate and other nonlinear diffusion. J Finance 54:1361–1395
Berkes I, Horváth L, Kokoszka P (2004) Testing for parameter constancy in GARCH \((p,q)\) models. Stat Probab Lett 70:263–273
Horváth L, Parzen E (1994) Limit theorems for Fisher-score change processes. In: Change-point problems (edited by Carlstein, E., Müller H.-G. and Siegmund, D.) IMS Lecture Notes—Monograph Series vol 23, pp 157–169
Kessler M (1997) Estimation of an ergodic diffusion from discrete observations. Scand J Stat 24:211–229
Lee S, Ha J, Na O, Na S (2003) The cusum test for parameter change in time series models. Scand J Stat 30:781–796
Negri I, Nishiyama Y (2012) Asymptotically distribution free test for parameter change in a diffusion process model. Ann Inst Stat Math 64:911–918
Nishiyama Y (2009) Asymptotic theory of semiparametric Z-estimators for stochastic processes with applications to ergodic diffusions and time series. Ann Stat 37:3555–3579
Song J, Lee S (2009) Test for parameter change in discretely observed diffusion processes. Stat Inference Stoch Process 12:165–183
Tsukuda K, Nishiyama Y (2014) On \(L^2\) space approach to change point problems. J Stat Plan Inference 149:46–59
van der Vaart AW (1998) Asymptotic statistics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
van der Vaart AW, Wellner JA (1996) Weak convergence and empirical processes: with applications to statistics. Springer, New York
Acknowledgments
The authors thank the associate editor and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Negri, I., Nishiyama, Y. Z-process method for change point problems with applications to discretely observed diffusion processes. Stat Methods Appl 26, 231–250 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-016-0366-7
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-016-0366-7