Abstract
The paper gives a highly personal sketch of some current trends in statistical inference. After an account of the challenges that new forms of data bring, there is a brief overview of some topics in stochastic modelling. The paper then turns to sparsity, illustrated using Bayesian wavelet analysis based on a mixture model and metabolite profiling. Modern likelihood methods including higher order approximation and composite likelihood inference are then discussed, followed by some thoughts on statistical education.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abramovich F, Sapatinas T and Silverman BW (1998). Wavelet thresholding via a Bayesian approach. J Roy Stat Soc B 60: 725–749
Ancey C, Davison AC, Böhm T, Jodeau M and Frey P (2008). Entrainment and motion of coarse particles in a shallow water stream down a steep slope. J Fluid Mech 595: 83–114
Azzalini A (1983). Maximum likelihood estimation of order m for stationary stochastic processes. Biometrika 70: 381–387
Barndorff-Nielsen OE and Cox DR (1994). Inference and asymptotics. Chapman & Hall, London
Barndorff-Nielsen OE, Mikosch T and Resnick SI (2001). Lévy processes: theory and applications. Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel
Barndorff-Nielsen OE, Gill RD and Jupp PE (2003). On quantum statistical inference (with discussion). J Roy Stat Soc B 65: 775–816
Bellio R (1999) Likelihood Asymptotics: Applications in Biostatistics. PhD Thesis, Department of Statistical Science, University of Padova
Bellio R and Brazzale AR (1999). On the implementation of approximate conditional inference. Stat Appl 11: 251–271
Bellio R and Brazzale AR (2001). A computer algebra package for approximate conditional inference. Stat Comput 11: 17–24
Bellio R and Brazzale AR (2003). Higher-order asymptotics unleashed: Software design for nonlinear heteroscedastic models. J Computat Graphical Stat 12: 682–697
Bhowmick D, Davison AC, Goldstein DR and Ruffieux Y (2006). A Laplace mixture model for the identification of differential expression in microarrays. Biostatistics 7: 630–641
Bickel PJ, Klassen CAJ, Ritov Y and Wellner JA (1993). Efficient and adaptive estimation for semiparametric models. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore
Böhm T, Ancey C, Frey P, Reboud J-L and Ducottet C (2004). Fluctuations of the solid discharge of gravity-driven particle flows in a turbulent stream. Phys Rev E 69: 061307
Brazzale AR (1999). Approximate conditional inference in logistic and loglinear models. J Computat Graphical Stat 8: 653–661
Brazzale AR (2000) Practical Small-Sample Parametric Inference. PhD Thesis, Department of Mathematics, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne
Brazzale AR, Davison AC and Reid N (2007). Applied asymptotics: case studies in small sample statistics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Breiman L (2001). Statistical modeling: the two cultures (with discussion). Stat Sci 16: 199–231
Bühlmann P, Hothorn T (2006) Boosting algorithms: regularization, prediction and model fitting. http://stat.ethz.ch/buhlmann/bibliog.html.
Castillo JD and López-Ratera A (2006). Saddlepoint approximation in exponential models with boundary points. Bernoulli 12: 491–500
Chellappa R and Jain A (eds) (1993). Markov random fields: theory and application. Academic, New York
Clifford P (1990). Markov random fields in statistics. In: Grimmett, GR and Welsh, DJA (eds) Disorder in physical systems: a volume in honour of John M. Hammersley, pp 19–32. Clarendon Press, Oxford
Cox DR and Isham VS (1988). A simple spatial-temporal model of rainfall. Proc Roy Soc Lond A 415: 317–328
Cox DR and Reid N (2004). A note on pseudolikelihood constructed from marginal densities. Biometrika 91: 211–221
Davison AC (2003). Statistical models. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Donoho DL and Johnstone IM (1994). Ideal spatial adaptation by wavelet shrinkage. Biometrika 81: 425–455
Efron B (2003). The statistical century. In: Panaretos, J (eds) Stochastic musings: perspectives from the pioneers of the late 20th century, pp 31–46. Laurence Erlbaum, Florence.
Efron B, Hastie TJ, Johnstone IM and Tibshirani RJ (2004). Least angle regression (with discussion). Ann Stat 32: 407–499
Fisher RA (1922). On the mathematical foundations of theoretical statistics. Philos Trans Roy Soc Lond A 222: 309–368
Fisher RA (1925). Theory of statistical estimation. Proc Cambridge Philos Soc 22: 700–725
Fisher RA (1934). Two new properties of mathematical likelihood. Proc Roy Soc Lond A 144: 285–307
Freund Y and Schapire RE (1997). A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting. J Comput Syst Sci 55: 119–139
Gu C (2002). Smoothing spline ANOVA models. Springer, New York
Hall P (2005). On non-parametric statistical methods. In: Davison, AC, Dodge, Y and Wermuth, N (eds) Celebrating statistics: papers in honour of Sir David Cox on his 80th birthday, pp 137–150. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Hand DJ (2006). Classifier technology and the illusion of progress (with discussion). Stat Sci 21: 1–34
Hastie TJ, Tibshirani RJ and Friedman JH (2001). The elements of statistical learning: data mining, inference, and prediction. Springer, New York
Heard NA, Holmes CC and Stephens DA (2006). A quantitative study of gene regulation involved in the immune response of Anopheline mosquitoes: an application of Bayesian hierarchical clustering of curves. J Am Stat Assoc 101: 18–29
Isham V (1981). An introduction to spatial point processes and Markov random fields. Int Stat Rev 49: 21–43
Isham VS (2005). Stochastic models for epidemics. In: Davison, AC, Dodge, Y and Wermuth, N (eds) Celebrating statistics: papers in honour of Sir David Cox on his 80th birthday, pp 27–54. Clarendon Press, Oxford
Johnstone IM and Silverman BW (2005). Empirical Bayes selection of wavelet thresholds. Ann Stat 33: 1700–52
Kou SC, Xie XS and Liu JS (2005). Bayesian analysis of single-molecule experimental data (with discussion). Appl Stat 54: 469–506
Lau JW, Green PJ (2008) Bayesian model based clustering procedures. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics p. (to appear)
Lindsay BG (1988). Composite likelihood methods. Contemporary Math 80: 220–241
Lönnstedt I and Speed TP (2002). Replicated microarray data. Stat Sinica 12: 31–46
McCulloch CE and Searle SR (2001). Generalized, linear and mixed models. Wiley, New York
Messerli G, Partovi Nia V, Trevisan M, Kolbe A, Schauer N, Geigenberger P, Chen J, Davison AC, Fernie A and Zeeman SC (2007). Rapid classification of phenotypic mutants of Arabidopsis via metabolite fingerprinting. Plant Physiol 143: 1484–1492
Murphy SA and van der Vaart AW (2000). On profile likelihood (with discussion). J Am Stat Assoc 95: 449–485
Owen AB (2001). Empirical likelihood. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton
Pace L and Salvan A (1997). Principles of statistical inference from a neo-fisherian perspective. World Scientific, Singapore
Panaretos VM (2006). The diffusion of radon shape. Adv Appl Prob 38: 320–335
Panaretos VM (2007). Partially observed branching processes for stochastic epidemics. J Math Biol 54: 645–668
Pearce ND and Wand MP (2006). Penalized splines and reproducing kernel methods. Am Stat 60: 233–240
Porporato A and Rodríguez-Iturbe I (2005). Stochastic soil moisture dynamics and vegetation response. In: Davison, AC, Dodge, Y and Wermuth, N (eds) Celebrating Statistics: papers in honour of Sir David Cox on his 80th birthday, pp 55–72. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Reid N (2003). Asymptotics and the theory of inference. Ann Stat 31: 1695–1731
Rotnitzky A (2005). On semiparametric inference. In: Davison, AC, Dodge, Y and Wermuth, N (eds) Celebrating statistics: papers in honour of Sir David Cox on his 80th birthday, pp 115–136. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Sartori N (2003). Modified profile likelihoods in models with stratum nuisance parameters. Biometrika 90: 533–549
Severini TA (2000). Likelihood methods in statistics. Clarendon Press, Oxford
Tibshirani R (1996). Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J Roy Stat Soc B 58: 267–288
Varin C (2008) On composite marginal likelihoods. Statistics (to appear)
Wahba G (1990). Spline models for observational data. CBMS-NSF regional conference series in applied mathematics. SIAM, Philadelphia
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This paper is based on a lecture given at a ceremony to inaugurate the new building of the Department of Statistics at the Università Ca’ Foscari, Venice, in September 2006. Some of the work described was performed in collaborations with Christophe Ancey, Alessandra Brazzale, Gaëlle Messerli, Vahid Partovi Nia, Nancy Reid and Sam Zeeman. The author thanks members of the Venice department for their generous hospitality and Christophe Ancey, Nicola Sartori, Victor Panaretos, Vahid Partovi Nia and referees for their helpful comments. The work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Davison, A.C. Some challenges for statistics. Stat. Meth. & Appl. 17, 167–181 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-007-0079-z
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-007-0079-z