Abstract
Objective
Using a single-center cohort of Japanese patients with SLE, we attempted to clarify the long-term outcome and factors associated with damage accrual using the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index (SDI).
Methods
We examined a cohort of 557 patients who had been referred to Niigata University Hospital and diagnosed as having SLE between 1961 and 2013. The patients’ data at the latest visit were collected from their clinical records, and causes of death were defined on the basis of those data. Survival from the time of diagnosis was calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method. The SDI was calculated and analyzed using Spearman’s correlation coefficient and stepwise multiple regression analysis to reveal the factors associated with any organ damage.
Results
Data from 458 of the patients were successfully obtained. The overall 5-year survival rate was 92.2%, and patients diagnosed after 2000 had a significantly high 5-year survival rate of 96.4%. Stepwise multiple regression analysis selected serum creatinine levels (B = 0.6051, p < 0.0001), age (standardized beta = 0.2762, p < 0.001), hypertension (standardized beta = 0.2267, p < 0.001), and antiphospholipid antibody syndrome (standardized beta = 0.1533, p = 0.005) as positive independent variables, whereas administration of bisphosphonate (standardized beta = − 0.1295, p = 0.016) was selected as a negative independent variable.
Conclusion
These results suggest that Japanese patients with SLE have a favorable long-term prognosis, and also indicate that disease control as well as management of chronic complications such as hypertension and osteoporosis has possible effects for prevention of organ damage.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Kasitanon N, Magder LS, Petri M. Predictors of survival in systemic lupus erythematosus. Med (Baltim). 2006;85:147–56.
Gladman D, Ginzler E, Goldsmith C, Fortin P, Liang M, Urowitz M, et al. The development and initial validation of the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index for systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum. 1996;39:363–9.
Gladman DD, Urowitz MB, Goldsmith CH, Fortin P, Ginzler E, Gordon C, et al. The reliability of the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum. 1997;40:809–13.
Sutton EJ, Davidson JE, Bruce IN. The Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) Damage Index: a systematic literature review. Semin Arthritis Rheum. 2013;43:352–61.
Petri M, Purvey S, Fang H, Magder LS. Predictors of organ damage in systemic lupus erythematosus. The Hopkins Lupus Cohort. Arthritis Rheum. 2012;64:4021–8.
Bruce IN, O’Keeffe AG, Farewell V, Hanly JG, Manzi S, Su L, et al. Factors associated with damage accrual in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: results from the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Linics (SLICC) inception cohort. Ann Rheum Dis. 2015;74:1706–13.
Yee CS, Su L, Toescu V, Hickman R, Situnayake D, Bowman S, et al. Birmingham SLE cohort: outcomes of a large inception cohort followed for up to 21 years. Rheumatology. 2015;54:836–43.
Becker-Merok A, Nossent HC. Damage accumulation in systemic lupus erythematosus and its relation to disease activity and mortality. J Rheumatol. 2006;33:1570–7.
Stoll T, SutcliffeN Mach J, et al. Analysis of the relationship between disease activity and damage in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus- a 5-yr prospective study. Rheumatology. 2004;43:1039–44.
Sato H, Miida T, Wada Y, et al. Atherosclerosis is accelerated in patients with long-term well-controlled systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Clin Chim Acta. 2007;385:35–42.
Yee CS, Hussein H, Skan J, Bowman S, Situnayake D, Gordon C. Association of damage with autoantibody profile, age, race, sex, and disease duration in systemic lupus erythematosus. Rheumatol (Oxf). 2003;42:276–9.
Chaiamnuay S, Bertoli AM, Roseman JM, McGwin G, Apte M, Duran S, et al. African-American and Hispanic ethnicities, renal involvement and obesity predispose to hypertension in systemic lupus erythematosus: results from LUMINA, a multiethnic cohort (LUMINALV). Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66:618–22.
Chakravarty EF, Bush TM, Manzi S, et al. Prevalence of adult systemic lupus erythematosus in California and Pennsylvania in 2000: estimates obtained using hospitalization data. Arthritis Rheum. 2007;56:2092–4.
Cooper GS, Parks CG, Treadwell EL, et al. Differences by race, sex and age in the clinical and immunologic features of recently diagnosed systemic lupus erythematosus patients in the Southeastern United States. Lupus. 2002;11:161–7.
Barr RG, Seliger S, Appel GB, et al. Prognosis in proliferative lupus nephritis: the role of socio-economic status and race/ethnicity. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2003;18:2039–46.
Tan EM, Cohen AS, Fries JF, et al. The 1982 revised criteria for the classification of systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum. 1982;25:1271–7.
Hochberg MC. Updating the American college of rheumatology revised criteria for the classification of systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum. 1997;40:1725.
Wilson WA, Gharavi AE, Koike T, et al. International consensus statement on preliminary classification criteria for definite antiphospholipid syndrome: report of an international workshop. Arthritis Rheum. 1999;42:1309–11.
Miyakis S, Lockshin MD, Atsumi T, et al. International consensus statement on an update of the classification criteria for definite antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). J Thromb Haemost. 2006;4:295–306.
Ugarte-Gil MF, Pons-Estel GJ, Molineros J, Wojdyla D, McGwin G, Nath SK, et al. Disease features and outcomes in United States lupus patients of Hispanic origin and their Mestizo counterparts in Latin America: a commentary. Rheumatology. 2016;55:436–40.
Gomez-Puerta JA, Barbhaiya M, Guan H, Feldman CH, Alarcon GS, Costenbader KH. Racial/ethnic variation in all-cause mortality among United States Medicaid recipients with systemic lupus erythematosus. a Hispanic and Asian paradox. Arthritis Rheum. 2015;67:752–60.
Suzuki Y, Nawata H, Soen S, Fujiwara S, Nakayama H, Tanaka I, et al. Guidelines on the management and treatment of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis of the Japanese Society for Bone and Mineral Research: 2014 update. J Bone Miner Metab. 2014;32:337–50.
Themaer M, Hernan MA, Zhang Y, Cotter D, Petri M. Relationship between prednisolone, Lupus activity and permanent organ damage. J Rheumatol. 2009;36:560–4.
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to Professor Naohito Tanabe, University of Niigata Prefecture, for his kind advice regarding statistical analyses in this study.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
All authors do not have any conflict of interest regarding to the study.
Ethical approval
All procedures performed in this study involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee at which the studies were conducted (IRB approval number 1754) and with the Declaration of Helsinki and the ethical guidelines for epidemiological studies issued by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan.
Informed consent
Because data were retrospectively obtained from medical records, informed consent was not obtained in accordance with the above ethical guidelines.
About this article
Cite this article
Wada, Y., Hasegawa, H., Saeki, T. et al. Long-term prognosis and factors associated with damage accrual in Japanese patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Clin Exp Nephrol 22, 597–602 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10157-017-1491-9
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10157-017-1491-9