Abstract
Stochastic variational inequalities (SVI) provide a unified framework for the study of a general class of nonlinear optimization and Nash-type equilibrium problems with uncertain model data. Often the true solution to an SVI cannot be found directly and must be approximated. This paper considers the use of a sample average approximation (SAA), and proposes a new method to compute confidence intervals for individual components of the true SVI solution based on the asymptotic distribution of SAA solutions. We estimate the asymptotic distribution based on one SAA solution instead of generating multiple SAA solutions, and can handle inequality constraints without requiring the strict complementarity condition in the standard nonlinear programming setting. The method in this paper uses the confidence regions to guide the selection of a single piece of a piecewise linear function that governs the asymptotic distribution of SAA solutions, and does not rely on convergence rates of the SAA solutions in probability. It also provides options to control the computation procedure and investigate effects of certain key estimates on the intervals.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Agdeppa, R.P., Yamashita, N., Fukushima, M.: Convex expected residual models for stochastic affine variational inequality problems and its application to the traffic equilibrium problem. Pac. J. Optim. 6(1), 3–19 (2010)
Anitescu, M., Petra, C.: Higher-order confidence intervals for stochastic programming using bootstrapping. Technical Report ANL/MCS-P1964-1011, Mathematics and Computer Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL (2011)
Attouch, H., Cominetti, R., Teboulle, M.: Forward: Special issue on nonlinear convex optimization and variational inequalities. Math. Program. 116(1–2), 1–3 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0116-6
Chen, X., Fukushima, M.: Expected residual minimization method for stochastic linear complementarity problems. Math. Oper. Res. 30, 1022–1038 (2005)
Chen, X., Pong, T.K., Wets, R.J.B.: Two-stage stochastic variational inequalities: an ERM-solution procedure (2015) (preprint)
Chen, X., Wets, R.J.B., Zhang, Y.: Stochastic variational inequalities: residual minimization smoothing sample average approximations. SIAM J. Optim. 22(2), 649–673 (2012)
Chen, X., Zhang, C., Fukushima, M.: Robust solution of monotone stochastic linear complementarity problems. Math. Program. 117, 51–80 (2009)
Dentcheva, D., Römisch, W.: Differential stability of two-stage stochastic programs. SIAM J. Optim. 11(1), 87–112 (2000)
Dontchev, A.L., Rockafellar, R.T.: Characterizations of strong regularity for variational inequalities over polyhedral convex sets. SIAM J. Optim. 6(4), 1087–1105 (1996)
Dupacova, J., Wets, R.: Asymptotic behavior of statistical estimators and of optimal solutions of stochastic optimization problems. Ann. Stat. 16(4), 1517–1549 (1988)
Facchinei, F., Pang, J.S.: Finite-Dimensional Variational Inequalities and Complementarity Problems, vol. I. Springer, New York (2003)
Fang, H., Chen, X., Fukushima, M.: Stochastic R\(_0\) matrix linear complementarity problems. SIAM J. Optim. 18, 482–506 (2007)
Ferris, M.C., Pang, J.S.: Complementarity and Variational Problems: State of the Art. SIAM, Philadelphia (1997)
Ferris, M.C., Pang, J.S.: Engineering and economic applications of complementarity problems. SIAM Rev. 39, 669–713 (1997)
Genz, A., Bretz, F.: Computation of Multivariate Normal and t Probabilities. Lecture Notes in Statistics. Springer, Heidelberg (2009)
Genz, A., Bretz, F., Miwa, T., Mi, X., Leisch, F., Scheipl, F., Hothorn, T.: mvtnorm: multivariate normal and t distributions (2013). http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=mvtnorm. R package version 0.9-9996
Giannessi, F., Maugeri, A. (eds.): Variational Inequalities and Network Equilibrium Problems. Plenum Press, New York (1995)
Giannessi, F., Maugeri, A., Pardalos, P.M. (eds.): Equilibrium Problems: Nonsmooth Optimization and Variational Inequality Models. Nonconvex optimization and its applications, vol. 58. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht (2001)
Gürkan, G., Pang, J.S.: Approximations of Nash equilibria. Math. Program. 117(1–2), 223–253 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/10107-007-0156-y
Gürkan, G., Yonca Özge, A., Robinson, S.M.: Sample-path solution of stochastic variational inequalities. Math. Program. 84, 313–333 (1999)
Harker, P.T., Pang, J.S.: Finite-dimensional variational inequality and nonlinear complementarity problems: a survey of theory, algorithms, and applications. Math. Program. 48, 161–220 (1990)
Haurie, A., Zaccour, G., Legrand, J., Smeers, Y.: A stochastic dynamic nash-cournot model for the European gas market. Technical Report G-87-24, École des hautes études commerciales, Montréal, Québec, Canada (1987)
Huber, P.: The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions. In: LeCam L., Neyman J. (eds.) Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics, pp. 221–233. University of California Press, Berkeley, CA (1967)
Jiang, H., Xu, H.: Stochastic approximation approaches to the stochastic variational inequality problem. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control 53(6), 1462–1475 (2008)
King, A.J., Rockafellar, R.T.: Asymptotic theory for solutions in statistical estimation and stochastic programming. Math. Oper. Res. 18, 148–162 (1993)
Lamm, M., Lu, S., Budhiraja, A.: Individual confidence intervals for true solutions to expected value formulations stochastic variational inequalities. Math. Prog. Ser. B 165(1), 151–196 (2017)
Lan, G., Nemirovski, A., Shapiro, A.: Validation analysis of mirror descent stochastic approximation method. Math. Program. 134(2), 425–458 (2012)
Linderoth, J., Shapiro, A., Wright, S.: The empirical behavior of sampling methods for stochastic programming. Ann. Oper. Res. 142, 215–241 (2006)
Lu, S.: A new method to build confidence regions for solutions of stochastic variational inequalities. Optimization 63(9), 1431–1443 (2014)
Lu, S.: Symmetric confidence regions and confidence intervals for normal map formulations of stochastic variational inequalities. SIAM J. Optim. 24(3), 1458–1484 (2014)
Lu, S., Budhiraja, A.: Confidence regions for stochastic variational inequalities. Math. Oper. Res. 38, 545–568 (2013)
Lu, S., Liu, Y., Yin, L., Zhang, K.: Confidence intervals and retions for the lasso by using stochastic variational inequality techniques in optimization. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 79(2), 589–611 (2017)
Luo, M., Lin, G.: Expected residual minimization method for stochastic variational inequality problems. J. Optim. Theory Appl. 140, 103–116 (2009)
Pang, J.: Newton’s method for B-differentiable equations. Math. Oper. Res. 15, 311–341 (1990)
Pang, J.S., Ralph, D.: Forward: Special issue on nonlinear programming, variational inequalities, and stochastic programming. Math. Program. 117(1–2), 1–4 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0169-6
Phelps, C., Royset, J.O., Gong, Q.: Optimal control of uncertain systems using sample average approximations. SIAM J. Control Optim. 54(1), 1–29 (2016)
Ralph, D.: On branching numbers of normal manifolds. Nonlinear Anal. Theory Methods Appl. 22, 1041–1050 (1994)
Robinson, S.M.: Strongly regular generalized equations. Math. Oper. Res. 5(1), 43–62 (1980)
Robinson, S.M.: An implicit-function theorem for a class of nonsmooth functions. Math. Oper. Res. 16(2), 292–309 (1991)
Robinson, S.M.: Normal maps induced by linear transformations. Math. Oper. Res. 17(3), 691–714 (1992)
Robinson, S.M.: Sensitivity analysis of variational inequalities by normal-map techniques. In: Giannessi, F., Maugeri, A. (eds.) Variational Inequalities and Network Equilibrium Problems, pp. 257–269. Plenum Press, New York (1995)
Rockafellar, R.T., Wets, R.J.B.: Stochastic variational inequalities: single-stage to multistage. Math. Program. Ser. B 165(1), 331–360 (2017)
Römisch, W.: Stability of stochastic programming problems. In: Ruszczyński, A., Shapiro, A. (eds.) Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 10, pp. 483–554. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2003)
Scholtes, S.: Introduction to Piecewise Differentiable Equations. Springer, New York (2012)
Shapiro, A.: Asymptotic behavior of optimal solutions in stochastic programming. Math. Oper. Res. 18, 829–845 (1993)
Shapiro, A., Dentcheva, D., Ruszczyński, A.P.: Lectures on Stochastic Programming: Modeling and Theory. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics and Mathematical Programming Society, Philadelphia, PA (2009)
Shapiro, A., Homem-de Mello, T.: On the rate of convergence of optimal solutions of monte carlo approximations of stochastic programs. SIAM J. Optim. 11(1), 70–86 (2000)
Shapiro, A., Xu, H.: Stochastic mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints, modeling and sample average approximation. Optimization 57, 395–418 (2008)
Stefanski, L.A., Boos, D.D.: The calculus of M-estimation. Am. Stat. 56(1), 29–38 (2002)
Vogel, S.: Universal confidence sets for solutions of optimization problems. SIAM J. Optim. 19(3), 1467–1488 (2008)
Wald, A.: Note on the consitency of the maximum likelihood estimate. Ann. Math. Stat. 20, 595–601 (1949)
Xu, H.: Sample average approximation methods for a class of stochastic variational inequality problems. Asia Pac. J. Oper. Res. 27(1), 103–119 (2010)
Yin, L., Lu, S., Liu, Y.: Confidence intervals for sparse penalized regression with random designs (2015) (submitted for publication)
Zhang, C., Chen, X., Sumlee, A.: Robust Wardrop’s user equilibrium assignment under stochastic demand and supply. Transp. Res. B 45(3), 534–552 (2011)
Acknowledgements
Research of Michael Lamm and Shu Lu is supported by National Science Foundation under the Grants DMS-1109099 and DMS-1407241. Research of Michael Lamm took place during his graduate study in the Department of Statistics and Operations at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. We thank the three anonymous referees for comments and suggestions that have helped to improve the presentation of this paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lamm, M., Lu, S. Generalized conditioning based approaches to computing confidence intervals for solutions to stochastic variational inequalities. Math. Program. 174, 99–127 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1279-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1279-z