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Prediction of earthquake damage to urban water distribution systems: a case study for Denizli, Turkey

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Abstract

Prediction of damage to water supply lines during an earthquake is a critical part of seismic planning. This study evaluates the performance of the water supply system in Denizli, Turkey, in the event of an M6, M6.3, M6.5 and M7 earthquake associated with the Pamukkale and Karakova-Akhan Faults. The relative effects of transient ground deformations and permanent ground deformations based on maps of liquefiable soil and zones of predicted lateral ground displacements are compared. The relative effects of the different magnitude earthquakes and pipeline damage relationships on the pipeline performance following a seismic event are assessed.

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Acknowledgments

The research reported in this paper was supported by Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) under Project No. 106M252 and Pamukkale University Research Fund under Project No. 2003MHF006. The authors are very grateful to the Water Works staff of various municipalities for their interest and assistance in assembling the water system data and in particularly to Orhan Kaygin, Sule Vardar, Sibel Cukurluoglu and Yusuf Ornek of Denizli Municipality Water Works Department for their continuous support and discussions. Thanks are also extended to Mehmet Genc of General Directorate of Disaster Affairs, Denizli Branch, and the Geology Department of PAU, especially Prof. Halil Kumsar for providing base maps for Denizli area and valuable comments and discussions.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Civil Engineering Department, Pamukkale University, Kinikli Campus, 20070, Denizli, Turkey

    Selcuk Toprak & A. Cem Koc

  2. Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bank (TSKB), Appraisal Section, Izmir, Turkey

    Filiz Taskin

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  1. Selcuk Toprak
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  2. Filiz Taskin
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  3. A. Cem Koc
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Correspondence to Selcuk Toprak.

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Toprak, S., Taskin, F. & Koc, A.C. Prediction of earthquake damage to urban water distribution systems: a case study for Denizli, Turkey. Bull Eng Geol Environ 68, 499–510 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-009-0230-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-009-0230-1

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