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Temperature responses of Turkey’s climate to the tropical volcanic eruptions over second half of the twentieth century

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Abstract

We examine the climatic responses of major tropical eruptions in maximum and minimum surface air temperature (Tmax and Tmin) records in Turkey using superposed epoch analysis for volcanic eruptions of the Agung, El Chichón and Pinatubo volcanos. Within the first 2 years following a tropical volcanic eruption, the observed Tmax and Tmin data showed dominant negative anomalies over Turkey. Two winter seasons following the eruption year tended to be the most sensitive. Winter cooling may also be explained by dynamic effects due to the occurrence of positive NAO event for both the first and second post-volcanic winters. Maximum air temperatures experienced a more marked cooling than minimum ones. This is possibly due to the radiative forcing effect of the volcanic aerosols. The air temperature responses of Turkey to volcanic eruptions revealed evidently regional differences. Negative temperature anomalies were observed mainly over the Mediterranean coasts and Central Anatolia Region, while weak or even opposite anomalies occurred on the shores of the Black Sea Region and at the stations of north of the Marmara Sub-region near the Black Sea.

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Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to the Turkish Meteorological Service for providing long series of themaximum and minimum air temperature data.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. The Physical Geography Division, Department of Geography, University of Ege, 35100 Bornova, İzmir, Turkey

    Ecmel Erlat

  2. The Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies and the Department of Physics, Boğaziçi University, İstanbul, Turkey

    Murat Türkeş

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  1. Ecmel Erlat
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  2. Murat Türkeş
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Correspondence to Ecmel Erlat.

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Erlat, E., Türkeş, M. Temperature responses of Turkey’s climate to the tropical volcanic eruptions over second half of the twentieth century. Theor Appl Climatol 137, 2369–2379 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2711-2

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