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Assessment of workplace accident risks in underground collieries by integrating a multi-goal cause-and-effect analysis method with MCDM sensitivity analysis

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Abstract

This study introduces a method using a multi-goal fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) and multi-criteria decision making based on sensitivity analysis to assess the risks associated with working accidents in underground collieries. Safety, stoppage in operation, and operational and capital costs are considered as the main goals during the FCM process with significant emphasis on safety. Workplace accidents data from Kerman underground collieries are statistically evaluated to find the degrees of occurrence probability, severity, and work-disability duration as the main risk factors. The causes and effects of accidents are analyzed using FCM based on three goals and the effects of risk factors. A sensitivity analysis on the weights of the goals is conducted with the aim of increasing the workplace safety in TOPSIS environment after solving the designed multi-goal FCM. Results indicate that “gas poisoning,” “roof fall,” and “debris and destruction” take the first three ranks and impose high risks to the system. By contrast, “collision, hit, and crash” presents the lowest risk among all accidents.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thanks IMIDRO for the colliery database and their help. Moreover, special thanks go to Urmia University of Technology supported this research.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Mining and Materials Engineering, Urmia University of Technology, Urmia, Iran

    Ezzeddin Bakhtavar

  2. Department of Industrial Engineering, Urmia University of Technology, Urmia, Iran

    Samuel Yousefi

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  1. Ezzeddin Bakhtavar
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Correspondence to Ezzeddin Bakhtavar.

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Bakhtavar, E., Yousefi, S. Assessment of workplace accident risks in underground collieries by integrating a multi-goal cause-and-effect analysis method with MCDM sensitivity analysis. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 32, 3317–3332 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-018-1618-x

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