Fig. 3 | Journal of Nonlinear Science

Fig. 3

From: Memory-Based Reduced Modelling and Data-Based Estimation of Opinion Spreading

Fig. 3

Results for the complete network. Top left: One realization of the microdynamics. Every column of the graphic represents the opinion of each of the 5000 agents at one point in time. Blue denotes opinion 1, green denotes opinion 2 and red denotes opinion 3. Top right: Corresponding realization of the macrodynamics \(\xi (X)\) that represent the percentages of opinions among all agents. We can observe oscillatory behaviour since agents with opinion 1 tend to change their opinion to 2 and analogously from 2 to 3 and from 3 to 1. Bottom: 40-step and one-step relative prediction errors of the NAR models determined by SINAR for different memory depths p with \(\lambda = 0\) and \(\lambda = 0.05\). As expected, the prediction error does not decrease with higher memory depth than \(p=1\) (Color figure online)

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