Abstract
Purpose
The high false positive rate (FPR) of 18F-FDG PET/CT in lung cancer screening represents a severe challenge for clinical decision-making. This study aimed to develop a clinical-translatable radiomics nomogram for reducing the FPR of PET/CT in lung cancer diagnosis, and to determine the impact of integrating manual diagnosis to the performance of the radiomics nomogram.
Methods
Among 3,947 18F-FDG PET/CT-screened patients with lung lesion, 157 malignant and 111 benign patients were retrospectively enrolled and divided into training and test cohorts. The data of manual diagnosis were recorded. A total of 4,338 features were extracted from CT, thin-section CT, PET and PET/CT, and the four radiomics signatures (RS) were then generated by LASSO method. Radiomics prediction nomogram integrating imaging-based RS and manual diagnosis was developed using multivariable logistic regression. The performances of RS and prediction nomograms were independently validated through key discrimination index and clinical benefit.
Results
The FPR of manual diagnosis was found to be 30.6%. Among the four RS, PET/CT RS exhibited the best performance. By integrating manual diagnosis, the hybrid nomogram integrating PET/CT RS and manual diagnosis demonstrated lowest FPR and highest area under curve (AUC) and Youden index (YI) in both training and test cohorts (FPR: 5.4% and 9.1%, AUC: 0.98 and 0.92, YI: 85.8% and 75.5%, respectively). This hybrid nomogram respectively corrected 78.6% and 37.5% among FPR cases produced by PET/CT RS, without significantly sacrificing its sensitivity. The net benefit of hybrid nomogram appeared highest at <85% threshold probability.
Conclusion
The established hybrid nomogram integrating PET/CT RS and manual diagnosis can significantly reduce FPR, improve diagnostic accuracy and enhance clinical benefit compared to manual diagnosis. By integrating manual diagnosis, the performance of this hybrid nomogram is superior to PET/CT RS, indicating the importance of clinicians’ judgement as an essential information source for improving radiomics diagnostic approaches.
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Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Zhe Wang, Zhiyong Quan, Ni Wang, Jingwei Yi, Qingju Zhang, Jin Zeng and Xiaohu Zhao for their technical assistance. Fei Kang thanks Prof. Yaochi Yang and Shuangqin Wu for providing the necessary impetus to conduct this study.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 81871379, 816771713, 81601521), the National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFC0103804), and the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program of China Association for Science and Technology (Grant No. 2017QNRC001).
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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.
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This retrospective analysis was approved by the Ethics Committee of Xijing Hospital (Approval No. KY20173008–1), and the informed consent was waived.
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This article is part of the Topical Collection on Advanced Image Analyses (Radiomics and Artificial Intelligence).
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Kang, F., Mu, W., Gong, J. et al. Integrating manual diagnosis into radiomics for reducing the false positive rate of 18F-FDG PET/CT diagnosis in patients with suspected lung cancer. Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging 46, 2770–2779 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-019-04418-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-019-04418-0