Abstract
This paper introduces a possible approach to integrated modelling of coastal change, focusing on coastal land use and cover change. Some of the mostimportant open issues in the context of integrated modelling of coastal change are introduced. The paper focuses on methdological aspects. Specific reference is made to Physiographic Unit Modelling as an approach to better handle spatial variability and ‘morphogenesis’, and as a way to focus on coastal change mechanisms instead of absolute coastal dynamics for achieving an important simplification of the problem. The application is briefly discussed with reference to a ‘minimal model’. The methodological structure introduced is considered particularly suitable to represent, according to a variable degree of simplification, the integrative dynamics between resources and uses of the resources.
Similar content being viewed by others
Abbreviations
- CLUCC:
-
Coastal Land Use and Cover Change
- ICM:
-
Integrated Coastal Management
- ICZM:
-
Integrated Coastal Zone Management
- RSLR:
-
Relative Sea Level Rise
References
Capobianco, M. & Otter, H. 1996.Modelling land use and land cover changes for deltaic areas. International workshop on the state-of-the-art of ICZM in the Mediterranean and the Black Sea. Iberotel Sarigerme Park.
Capobianco, M., DeVriend, H.J., Nicholls, R. & Stive, M.J.F. 1999. Coastal area impact and vulnerability assessment: A morphodynamic modeller's point of view.J. Coastal Res. 53: 701–716.
Capobianco, M., Jimenez, J.A., Sanchez-Arcilla, A. & Stive, M.J.F. 1997. Budget models for the evolution of deltas. Definition of processes and scales.J. Coastal Conserv. 4: 7–16.
Costanza, R., Sklar, f.H. & White, M.L. 1990. Modelling coastal landscape dynamics.BioScience 40: 91–107.
Engelen, G., White, R. & Uljee, I. 1993. Exploratory modelling of socio-economic impacts of climatic change. In: Maul, G.A. (ed.)Climate change in the intra-americas sea, pp. 306–324. Edward Arnold, London.
Engelen, G., White, R., Uljee, I. & Drazan, P. 1995. Using cellular automata for integrated modelling of socio-environmental systems.Environ. Monit. Assessm. 34: 203–214.
Farinha, J.C., Costa, L., Zalidis, G., Matzavelas, A., Fitoka, E., Hecher, N. & Tomàs Vives, P. 1996.Mediterranean wetland inventory: habitat description system. MedWet/ICN/Wetlands International/Greek Biotope/Wetland Centre (EKBY)/Instituto da Conservaçao de Naturaleza (ICN) Publication, Vol. 3, Athens.
Gardner, M. 1970. The fantastic combinations of John Conways new solitaire game Life.Sci. Am. 223: 120–123.
Gutowitz, H. 1991.Cellular automata. Theory and experiment. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MS.
Meyer, W.B. & Turner II, B.L. (eds.) 1994.Changes in land use and land cover: A global perspective. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Turner II, B.L., Skole, D., Sanderson, S., Fischer, G., Fresco, L. & Leemans, R. 1995.Land-use and land-cover change science/research plan. IGBP Report No. 35 and HDP Report No. 7. ICSU, Stockholm.
Turner, R.K. 1991. Economics and wetland management.Ambio 20: 59–63.
White, R. & Engelen, G. 1993. Cellular automata and fractal urban form: A cellular modelling approach to the evolution of urban land use patterns.Environ. Plann. 25: 1175–1199.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Michele, C. On the integrated modelling of coastal changes. J Coast Conserv 5, 113–124 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02802748
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02802748