Advertisement

Journal of Population Economics

, Volume 7, Issue 2, pp 217–234 | Cite as

A macroeconometric disequilibrium analysis of current and future migration from Eastern Europe into West Germany

  • Wolfgang Franz
  • Ursula Oser
  • Peter Winker
Article
  • 53 Downloads

Abstract

This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of current and future immigration flows on major macroeconomic variables of the West German economy. The analysis is based on a macroeconometric disequilibrium model for the West German economy. This model is extended until 1995 and used for several simulation experiments. Special attention is given to the notion that the effects of immigration are regime-specific, i.e., they depend on the type of disequilibrium prevailing on the goods and labor market.

Keywords

Labor Market Simulation Experiment Macroeconomic Variable German Economy Future Migration 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Blaschke D, Buttler F, Karr W Klauder W, Leikep H (1992) Der Arbeitsmarkt in den neuen Landern — Zwischenbilanz und Herausforderungen. Mitt Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung 25:119–135Google Scholar
  2. Franz W (1981) Employment policy and labor supply of foreign workers in the Federal Republic of Germany: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Z ges Staatswissen 137:590–611Google Scholar
  3. Franz W (1991) Match and mismatch on the German labour market. In: Padoa-Schioppa F (ed) Mismatch and labour mobility. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 105–135Google Scholar
  4. Franz W (1993) Zur ökonomischen Bedeutung von Wanderungen und den Möglichkeiten und Grenzen einer Einwanderungspolitik. Universität Konstanz, Forschungsschwerpunkt ,Internationale Arbeitsmarktforschung", Diskussionspapier 3-1993, KonstanzGoogle Scholar
  5. Franz W, Gordon RJ (1993) German and American wage and price dynamics: differences and common themes. Eur Econ Rev 37:719–754Google Scholar
  6. Franz W, Heidbrink G (1992) The importance of rationing in international trade: an econometric analysis for Germany. Recherches Econ Louvain 58:347–371Google Scholar
  7. Franz W, Konig H (1990) A disequilibrium approach to unemployment in the Federal Republic of Germany. Eur Econ Rev 34:413–422Google Scholar
  8. Franz W, Smolny W (1990) Internationale Migration und wirtschaftliche Entwicklung: Eine theoretische und empirische Analyse mit Hilfe eines Mengenrationierungsmodells. In: Felderer B (ed) Bevölkerung und Wirtschaft. Duncker u. Humblot, Berlin, pp 195–209Google Scholar
  9. Gehring A, Schmidt CM, Zimmermann KF (1992) Mass migration, unions, and fiscal migration policy. Münchner Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Beitrage Nr. 92-15, MünchenGoogle Scholar
  10. Hönekopp E (1991) Ost West Wanderungen: Ursachen und Entwicklungstendenzen. Mitt Arbeitsmarkt-und Berufsforschung 24:115–133Google Scholar
  11. Lambert J-P (1988) Disequilibrium macroeconomic models. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeGoogle Scholar
  12. Smolny W (1992) Macroeconomic consequences of international labour migration. In: Vosgerau HJ (ed) European Integration and the World Economy. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp 376–408Google Scholar
  13. Smolny W (1993) Dynamic factor demand in a rationing context. Theory and estimation of a macroeconomic model for the Federal Republic of Germany. Physica, HeidelbergGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 1994

Authors and Affiliations

  • Wolfgang Franz
    • 1
  • Ursula Oser
    • 2
  • Peter Winker
    • 2
  1. 1.CEPRLondonUK
  2. 2.University of KonstanzKonstanzGermany

Personalised recommendations