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Precipitation pattern modeling using cross-station perception: regional investigation

  • Sadeq Oleiwi Sulaiman
  • Jalal Shiri
  • Hamed Shiralizadeh
  • Ozgur Kisi
  • Zaher Mundher Yaseen
Original Article
  • 21 Downloads

Abstract

Establishing robust models for predicting precipitation processes can yield a significant aspect for many applications in water resource engineering and environmental prospective. In particular, understanding precipitation phenomena is crucial for managing the effects of flooding in watersheds. In this research, a regional precipitation pattern modeling was undertaken using three intelligent predictive models incorporating artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF) methods. The modeling was carried out using monthly time scale precipitation information in a semi-arid environment located in Iraq. Twenty weather stations covering the entire region were used to construct the predictive models. At the initial stage, the region was divided into three climatic districts based on documented research. Initially, modeling was carried out for each district using historical information from regionally distributed meteorological stations for calibration. Subsequently, cross-station modeling was undertaken for each district using precipitation data from other districts. The study demonstrated that cross-station modeling was an effective means of predicting the spatial distribution of precipitation in watersheds with limited meteorological data.

Keywords

Precipitation forecasting Intelligence models Cross-station modeling Semi-arid environment 

Notes

Acknowledgements

Authors would like to acknowledge their gratitude and appreciate for the Meteorological Organization of Seismology (IMOS), Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources of Kurdistan, for providing the precipitation data set of the studied case study and their admirable cooperation. Also, we thank all reviewers and editors for their insightful comments that improved the clarity of the final paper.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest

The authors have no conflict of interest to declare for publishing this article.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Dams and Water Resources Department, College of EngineeringUniversity of AnbarRamadiIraq
  2. 2.Water Engineering Department, Faculty of AgricultureUniversity of TabrizTabrizIran
  3. 3.Faculty of Natural Sciences and EngineeringIlia State UniversityTbilisiGeorgia
  4. 4.Sustainable Developments in Civil Engineering Research Group, Faculty of Civil EngineeringTon Duc Thang UniversityHo Chi Minh CityVietnam

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