Advertisement

Journal of Geographical Sciences

, Volume 29, Issue 8, pp 1346–1362 | Cite as

Analog simulation of urban construction land supply and demand in Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration based on land intensive use

  • Ying XiongEmail author
  • Yun Chen
  • Fen Peng
  • Jingzhi Li
  • Xiaojing Yan
Article

Abstract

Urban land intensive use is an important indicator in harmonizing the relationship between land supply and demand. The system dynamics (SD) can be used to construct the feedback loop between urban construction land supply and demand and index variable function. Based on this, this study built a supply and demand system dynamic model of urban construction land for Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration. This model can simulate the change trends of supply and demand of construction land, industrial land, and residential land in 2016–2030 by three scenarios of low, medium, and high intensity modes. The results showed that the scale of construction land of urban agglomeration is expanding, with a rapid increase rate for the urban construction land. The scale and speed of land use based on the three intensity modes existed differences. The large scale and supply of construction land in the low intensity mode caused easily the waste of land resources. In high intensity mode, the scale and supply of construction land were reduced against the healthy development of new-type urbanization. In the medium intensity mode, the scale and supply of land use adapted to the socio-economic development and at the same time reflected the concept of modern urban development. In addition, the results of this study found that the proportion of industrial land in construction land ranged from 15% to 21%, which increased year by year in the low intensity mode, and decreased slowly and stabilized in medium and high intensity modes. The proportion of residential land in construction land ranged from 27% to 35%, which decreased in the low and the medium intensity modes, and maintained a high level in the higher intensity mode. This study contributes to provide scientific reference for decision-making optimization of land supply and demand, urban planning, and land supply-side reform.

Keywords

intensive urban land use land supply and demand simulation model system dynamic model Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration 

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Chen Y, Chen Y R, Ma W B, 2013. Colligation evaluation of industrial land intensive use in Hubei Province based on 365 valid questionnaires of typical industrial enterprises. Journal of Natural Resources, 28(1): 73–80. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  2. Deng C X, Xie B G, Li X Q et al., 2012. Analysis on spatial-temporal change of cultivated land intensive use in Changsha. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 28(1): 230–237. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  3. Fan H, Liu W D, Wu Z B, 2014. Spatio-temperal characteristics of internal coordination of intensive urban land use: A case study of the downtown of Wuhan. Scientia Geograhica Sinica, 34(6): 696–704. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  4. Fan J, Zhang Y K, 2012. A preliminary analysis of land resource constraints on urban expansion of Beijing based on land supply and demand. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 3(3): 253–261.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Fang C L, Ma H T, 2013. New city district development and intensive land use in the context of new-type urbanization. China Land Sciences, 27(7): 4–10. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  6. Gu J R, Chen X W, Yang H L, 2010. System dynamic model of land supply and demand in Chengdu. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 26(4): 81–85. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  7. He P, Ni P, 2013. Study on the quality of China’s urbanization. Statistical Research, 30(6): 11–18. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  8. He W, Xiu C L, 2011. Analysis of spatial difference in regional urban land intensive utilization: a case study of Jilin Province. Journal of Natural Resources, 26(8): 1287–1296. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  9. Li J G, Zhang X J, Gao Y M et al., 2012. Dynamic analysis and evaluation on the degree of urban land intensive use based on improved entropy model: A case of Guangzhou City. Areal Research and Development, 31(4): 118–123. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  10. Li J Z, Zhu X, Li J B, 2013a. Research on the dynamics analysis and optimization decision-making of water resources supply and demand system in Dongting Lake district. Journal of Natural Resources, 28(2): 199–210. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  11. Li X X, Xu L, Jiang E C, 2013b. Multi-objective optimization of land use structure in western Jilin Province based on system dynamics. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 29(16): 247–254. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  12. Peng C, Chen L Y, Han F, 2014. The analysis of new-type urbanization and the intensive urban land use: Spatial-temporal evolution and their relationship. Geographical Research, 33(11): 2005–2020. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  13. Sun Y J, Chen Z G. Coordinated development between urban land intensive use and urbanization level in Jiangsu Province. Resources Science, 34(5): 889–895. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  14. Susannah G E, Handley J F, Ennos A R et al., 2008. Characterizing the urban environment of UK cities and towns: A template for landscape and urban planning. Landscape and Urban Planning, 87(3): 210–222.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Taleai M, Sharifi A, Sliuzas R et al., 2007. Evaluating the compatibility of multi-functional and intensive urban land uses. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 9(4): 375–391.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. Wang J, Zheng Z Y, Huang X Y et al., 2014. Rethinking the current land use strategies of solving the conflicts between land supply and demand in China. China Land Sciences, 25(4): 9–12. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  17. Wang J T, Ji K W, 2008. Study on dynamic mechanism of urban land intensive use. Urban Problems, (8): 9–13. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  18. Wang Z Y, Fu L P, Chen W D, 2010. Evaluation and empirical analysis of intensive use of urban land in China: Taking three major urban agglomerations as an example. Exploration of Economic Issues, (11): 96–99.Google Scholar
  19. Wu Y L, Qu F T, 2007. Mechanism of intensive urban land use in China: Theoretical and practical study. Resources Science, 29(6): 106–113. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  20. Xie M, Hao J M, Ding Z Y et al., 2006. Study on connotation of intensified urban land use and its evaluation index. Journal of China Agricultural University, 11(5): 117–120. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  21. Xiong Y, Su T, Li H et al., 2016. Dynamic econometric analysis of the relationship between economic development and land intensive utilization in Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration. Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resource, 33(3): 1–8. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  22. Xiong Y, Yu T, Su T, 2016. Analysis of land supply and demand forecasting and distribution pattern of Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration. China Population, Resources and Environment, 26(5): 222–225. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  23. Xiong Y, Zhong M Z, Su et al., 2016. Study on urban land supply and land comprehensive benefit demand of Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration. Natural Resource Economics of China, (3): 39–44. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  24. Yang S H, 2007. Connotation of intensive use of urban land and the construction of its evaluation index system. Exploration of Economic Issues, (1): 27–30. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  25. Yang Y, Lang Y J, 2011. Impacts of urbanization on land use efficiency and its regional differences in inland area of China regarding the opening reform. China Land Sciences, 25(10): 20–26. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  26. Yin J, Xie J Q, Wang Li et al., 2007. The evaluation of urban land intensive use based on RS. Journal of Natural Resources, 22(5): 775–782. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  27. Zhang H H, Zeng Y N, Tan R et al., 2011. A model for regional land use optimization allocation based on multi-agent system and its application. Acta Geographica Sinica, 66(7): 972–984. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  28. Zhang L Q, Chen S P, Chen B P, 2014. Measurement and analysis of impact of industrial structure evolution on urban land intensive use in Anhui Province in 1996–2011. Scientia Geograhica Sinica, 34(9): 1117–1124. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  29. Zhang L Q, Chen S P, Wang W Q et al., 2012. Research on the driving factor measurement of the construction land expansion in Chizhou city, Anhui Province: Based on the STIRPAT model. Progress in Geography, 31(9): 1235–1242. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  30. Zhao X F, Huang X J, Chen Y et al., 2010. Research progress in urban land intensive use. Journal of Natural Resources, 25 (11): 1979–1996. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  31. Zhou G H, He Y H, 2006. Characteristics and influencing factors of urban land expansion in Changsha. Acta Geographica Sinica, 61(11): 1171–1180. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  32. Zhou L H, Hong Z L, Yu Y L, 2012. Land intensive use assessment in the block economy: A case study in Lianhu district in Xi’an city. China Land Sciences, 26 (7): 78–83. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  33. Zhou W, Cao Y G, Qiao L Y, 2012. Urban land intensive use assessment based on the entire-array-polygon in-dictor method. China Land Sciences, 26(4): 84–90. (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  34. Zhu Y Z, Cao Y, 2011. Assessment of urban land intensive use based on PSR model: A case study of Guangdong Province. Economic Geography, 31(8): 1375–1380. (in Chinese)Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Science in China Press 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ying Xiong
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Yun Chen
    • 1
  • Fen Peng
    • 1
    • 2
  • Jingzhi Li
    • 1
    • 2
  • Xiaojing Yan
    • 1
  1. 1.School of ArchitectureChangsha University of Science and TechnologyChangshaChina
  2. 2.Key Laboratory of Dongting Lake Aquatic Eco-Environmental Control and Restoration of Hunan ProvinceChangshaChina

Personalised recommendations